Frequently Asked Questions
- Storm Prediction Center - Severe Weather Outlooks
- Pivotal Weather - Models
- College of DuPage - Satellite Viewer
- Aviation Weather Center - Surface Observations + Reflectivity
Collaborators with the Iowa State Student Chapter of the American Meteorological Society are preparing a Forecasting How-To Page [it will be linked here as soon as possible]
During the forecasting season, we submit forecasts for Monday through Friday events. Forecasts are submitted between 00z - 16z. Those forecasts are scored from 1630z - 12z the next day. This matches the forecast verification period of the Storm Prediction Center's 1630z Day 1 Outlook. From this, you can see that there is no overlap between when we can submit forecasts, and when those forecasts are scored. There is overlap between the previous day's forecast verification, and when the next day's forecast period begins! This is a bit easier to understand if we use a table!
| Day of the Week | Forecast Period (Zulu) | Verification Period (Zulu) |
|---|---|---|
| Monday | 00z Mon - 16z Mon | 1630z Mon - 12z Tue |
| Tuesday | 00z Tue - 16z Tue | 1630z Tue - 12z Wed |
| Wednesday | 00z Wed - 16z Wed | 1630z Wed - 12z Thu |
| Thursday | 00z Thu - 16z Thu | 1630z Thu - 12z Fri |
| Friday | 00z Fri - 16z Fri | 1630z Fri - 12z Sat |
As further help, here is the same table, but in Central Time!
| Day of the Week | Forecast Period (CDT) | Verification Period (CDT) |
|---|---|---|
| Monday | 7pm Sun - 11am Mon | 1130am Mon - 7am Tue |
| Tuesday | 7pm Mon - 11am Tue | 1130am Tue - 7am Wed |
| Wednesday | 7pm Tue - 11am Wed | 1130am Wed - 7am Thu |
| Thursday | 7pm Wed - 11am Thu | 1130am Thu - 7am Fri |
| Friday | 7pm Thu - 11am Fri | 1130am Fri - 7am Sat |
First, the easy cases:
- If you entered a city/town, the admin can correct it.
- If no city was provided, the forecast cannot be corrected.
This is usually caused by an incorrect latitude or longitude. While admins may catch errors, forecasters are responsible for quality controlling their work.
More complex scenario:
- City provided → forecast moved to intended location.
- No city provided → forecast stands as entered.
- SPC filtered tornado reports
- NOAA Damage Assessment Toolkit data (when available)