 |
|
|
Marshalltown, Day 2.5
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Chris Schaffer |
-0.08 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.28 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.05 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.19 |
0.31 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
| Nick Carletta |
0.14 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.85 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.32 |
0.24 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
| GFS MOS |
2.09 |
-0.35 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.42 |
-0.04 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.16 |
| Brandon Engelson |
-0.35 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.97 |
0.98 |
2.39 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
2.69 |
-0.24 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.05 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.31 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
-0.24 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.35 |
0.13 |
2.39 |
0.00 |
0.33 |
| Jason Patton |
1.53 |
0.12 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.68 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.09 |
1.30 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.61 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.51 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
-0.25 |
0.83 |
0.00 |
2.39 |
1.25 |
0.44 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.58 |
| Brandon Fisel |
2.60 |
0.12 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.43 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.63 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.24 |
1.06 |
3.17 |
0.00 |
0.57 |
0.58 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.64 |
| Ryan Alliss |
0.84 |
-0.24 |
0.00 |
2.39 |
2.55 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.70 |
| Jeff Duda |
-0.42 |
-0.35 |
0.00 |
2.39 |
0.94 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
3.17 |
0.72 |
| Eta MOS |
0.72 |
0.47 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.05 |
0.53 |
2.39 |
0.00 |
0.77 |
| Jayson Prentice |
-0.08 |
3.77 |
3.17 |
2.39 |
0.57 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.21 |
| Justin Wittrock |
1.21 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.23 |
4.30 |
2.39 |
3.17 |
1.30 |
Raw Squared Error
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Chris Schaffer |
86 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
146 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Average |
92 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
130 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
101 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| Nick Carletta |
102 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
179 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
115 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
130 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
242 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
106 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| Brandon Engelson |
67 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
25 |
1 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
285 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
75 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
150 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
| Jason Patton |
202 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
227 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
170 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
223 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
74 |
11 |
0 |
1 |
202 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| Brandon Fisel |
279 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
270 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
75 |
13 |
1 |
0 |
163 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| Ryan Alliss |
152 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
277 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| Jeff Duda |
62 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
184 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
| Eta MOS |
144 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
248 |
15 |
1 |
0 |
| Jayson Prentice |
86 |
36 |
1 |
1 |
163 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Justin Wittrock |
179 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
117 |
100 |
1 |
1 |
|
