 |
|
|
Spencer, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Andrew Ansorge |
-0.49 |
0.16 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.35 |
-0.56 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.16 |
| Brandon Engelson |
1.25 |
-0.54 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.24 |
-1.21 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.03 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.19 |
0.65 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
-0.19 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
| Jeff Duda |
-0.60 |
-0.54 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.12 |
0.19 |
1.13 |
0.62 |
0.08 |
| Jayson Prentice |
0.17 |
1.70 |
0.93 |
0.91 |
-0.15 |
-1.37 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.27 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.58 |
-0.11 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.53 |
0.78 |
1.13 |
1.23 |
0.52 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
0.76 |
-0.29 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.06 |
0.59 |
2.26 |
1.23 |
0.56 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
0.28 |
-0.38 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.71 |
1.62 |
1.13 |
1.23 |
0.57 |
| GFS MOS |
0.84 |
-0.31 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.58 |
0.53 |
1.13 |
3.08 |
0.73 |
| Eta MOS |
1.39 |
-0.09 |
0.93 |
0.00 |
0.31 |
0.81 |
2.26 |
0.62 |
0.78 |
| Justin Wittrock |
-0.47 |
1.70 |
0.93 |
0.91 |
-0.17 |
1.74 |
1.13 |
0.62 |
0.80 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
0.82 |
0.29 |
0.93 |
0.91 |
0.63 |
1.65 |
1.13 |
0.62 |
0.87 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.57 |
1.41 |
3.71 |
0.00 |
-0.21 |
0.40 |
3.39 |
0.00 |
1.02 |
| Chris Schaffer |
-0.22 |
2.90 |
1.85 |
1.83 |
0.21 |
2.02 |
1.13 |
0.62 |
1.29 |
| NGM MOS |
3.29 |
0.96 |
0.93 |
3.66 |
3.92 |
0.22 |
0.00 |
3.08 |
2.01 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Andrew Ansorge |
108 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| Brandon Engelson |
264 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| Average |
152 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
135 |
53 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
| Jeff Duda |
98 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
50 |
1 |
1 |
| Jayson Prentice |
167 |
100 |
1 |
1 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
204 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
147 |
69 |
1 |
2 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
220 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
63 |
2 |
2 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
177 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
169 |
96 |
1 |
2 |
| GFS MOS |
227 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
153 |
61 |
1 |
5 |
| Eta MOS |
277 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
120 |
70 |
2 |
1 |
| Justin Wittrock |
110 |
100 |
1 |
1 |
62 |
100 |
1 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
226 |
37 |
1 |
1 |
159 |
97 |
1 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
101 |
87 |
4 |
0 |
57 |
57 |
3 |
0 |
| Chris Schaffer |
132 |
154 |
2 |
2 |
108 |
109 |
1 |
1 |
| NGM MOS |
447 |
67 |
1 |
4 |
558 |
51 |
0 |
5 |
|
