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Dubuque, Day 2

Keokuk, Day 2

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S Overall
Brandon Fisel -0.03 -0.88 -0.97 -1.24 -0.65 -1.39 0.75 0.00 -0.55
Jon Hobbs 0.21 -0.34 -0.97 0.00 0.07 0.49 0.38 -0.73 -0.11
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
National Weather Service -0.55 -0.02 1.95 1.24 -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.73 0.20
Eric Mykleby 0.66 -1.30 -0.97 -1.24 0.38 1.30 2.26 2.91 0.50
GFS Extended MOS 0.23 0.98 0.97 1.24 0.08 1.04 0.75 0.00 0.66
Consensus MOS 0.63 0.90 0.97 1.24 0.43 0.97 0.38 0.00 0.69
Sho Kawazoe 0.11 1.96 0.97 1.24 0.46 0.62 0.38 0.00 0.72
NAM MOS 2.27 0.56 0.00 0.00 3.06 2.01 0.00 -0.73 0.90
GFS MOS 0.83 1.56 0.97 1.24 0.65 1.26 2.26 0.00 1.10
GFS Ensemble MOS 2.74 0.82 0.97 1.24 1.42 2.14 2.64 0.00 1.49


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S
Brandon Fisel 193 26 0 0 108 17 6 1
Jon Hobbs 217 60 0 1 181 75 5 0
Average 196 81 1 1 174 60 4 1
National Weather Service 141 80 3 2 146 60 4 0
Eric Mykleby 262 0 0 0 212 100 10 5
GFS Extended MOS 219 142 2 2 182 92 6 1
Consensus MOS 259 137 2 2 217 90 5 1
Sho Kawazoe 207 203 2 2 220 79 5 1
NAM MOS 422 116 1 1 483 122 4 0
GFS MOS 279 178 2 2 240 99 10 1
GFS Ensemble MOS 469 132 2 2 317 126 11 1