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Sioux City, Day 4/3/2/1

Clarinda, Day 4/3/2/1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S Overall
Nick Carletta -0.70 -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.94 0.00 0.00 -0.27
Jon Hobbs -0.29 0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.68 0.19 -1.13 0.00 -0.21
Justin Hayward -0.20 -0.73 0.00 0.00 -0.44 -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.21
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
GFS Extended MOS 2.34 -0.52 0.00 0.00 0.87 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.39
National Weather Service -0.54 0.73 0.00 0.00 -0.15 2.00 1.13 0.00 0.40
Jeff Duda 0.69 -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.26 1.31 2.27 0.00 0.44
Consensus MOS 0.72 0.41 0.00 0.00 1.17 0.12 1.13 1.41 0.62
GFS Ensemble MOS -0.88 2.49 0.00 0.00 2.47 1.87 1.13 2.83 1.24


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S
Nick Carletta 466 2 0 0 617 25 1 0
Jon Hobbs 546 9 0 0 509 43 0 0
Justin Hayward 562 0 0 0 549 35 1 0
Average 601 7 0 0 624 40 1 0
GFS Extended MOS 1050 2 0 0 771 47 1 0
National Weather Service 498 14 0 0 598 72 2 0
Jeff Duda 734 2 0 0 580 61 3 0
Consensus MOS 740 11 0 0 822 42 2 1
GFS Ensemble MOS 433 31 0 0 1042 70 2 2