 |
|
|
Burlington, Day 1
Fairfield, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.78 |
-0.74 |
-1.07 |
-0.56 |
0.32 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.37 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.88 |
1.15 |
0.53 |
0.28 |
-0.61 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
-2.55 |
-0.24 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Brandon Engelson |
-0.89 |
0.43 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.59 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Jason Patton |
0.73 |
-0.14 |
1.07 |
0.56 |
-0.60 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.18 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
1.52 |
-0.38 |
-0.53 |
-0.28 |
0.29 |
1.45 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.26 |
| GFS MOS |
1.43 |
-0.38 |
-0.53 |
-0.56 |
1.35 |
1.32 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.33 |
| Consensus MOS |
1.26 |
-0.10 |
0.00 |
-0.56 |
0.56 |
1.71 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.36 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.15 |
-0.43 |
0.00 |
1.67 |
1.77 |
-0.53 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.45 |
| Nick Carletta |
-0.36 |
0.98 |
2.13 |
1.12 |
0.40 |
0.53 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.60 |
| Eta MOS |
2.09 |
0.29 |
0.00 |
0.84 |
0.30 |
1.98 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.69 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.38 |
0.12 |
1.07 |
0.56 |
1.50 |
1.98 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.82 |
| Brandon Fisel |
-0.03 |
-0.74 |
2.13 |
2.79 |
3.14 |
0.92 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.03 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
0.65 |
3.09 |
1.60 |
1.67 |
0.08 |
-1.19 |
0.00 |
2.55 |
1.06 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Jon Hobbs |
181 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
227 |
60 |
1 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
158 |
115 |
3 |
3 |
140 |
62 |
1 |
0 |
| Average |
367 |
67 |
2 |
2 |
197 |
61 |
1 |
1 |
| Brandon Engelson |
156 |
85 |
2 |
2 |
252 |
60 |
1 |
1 |
| Jason Patton |
540 |
61 |
4 |
4 |
141 |
60 |
1 |
1 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
727 |
51 |
1 |
1 |
224 |
72 |
1 |
1 |
| GFS MOS |
707 |
51 |
1 |
0 |
322 |
71 |
1 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
667 |
63 |
2 |
0 |
249 |
74 |
1 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
641 |
49 |
2 |
8 |
361 |
57 |
1 |
1 |
| Nick Carletta |
282 |
108 |
6 |
6 |
234 |
65 |
1 |
1 |
| Eta MOS |
863 |
79 |
2 |
5 |
225 |
76 |
1 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
694 |
72 |
4 |
4 |
336 |
76 |
1 |
1 |
| Brandon Fisel |
361 |
36 |
6 |
12 |
488 |
68 |
1 |
1 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
521 |
196 |
5 |
8 |
204 |
52 |
1 |
2 |
|
