 |
|
|
Des Moines, Day 2
Mason City, Day 2
Ottumwa, Day 2
Fort Dodge, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| National Weather Service |
-0.59 |
0.79 |
3.33 |
1.18 |
-0.34 |
-2.46 |
-2.03 |
-0.98 |
-0.14 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Jeff Duda |
-0.66 |
-1.08 |
1.11 |
0.59 |
-0.17 |
0.86 |
-0.51 |
0.33 |
0.06 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.21 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
1.18 |
-0.10 |
-1.16 |
0.00 |
0.33 |
0.07 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
-0.66 |
-0.33 |
0.00 |
-1.18 |
-0.73 |
0.24 |
2.03 |
2.94 |
0.29 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
0.20 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.59 |
0.79 |
0.52 |
0.00 |
0.65 |
0.36 |
| GFS MOS |
0.51 |
0.82 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
1.12 |
0.51 |
0.33 |
0.42 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.78 |
0.82 |
1.11 |
0.00 |
0.31 |
0.43 |
0.51 |
0.33 |
0.54 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
0.31 |
0.79 |
1.11 |
0.00 |
-0.35 |
0.66 |
0.00 |
1.96 |
0.56 |
| Eta MOS |
0.80 |
0.16 |
0.00 |
0.59 |
2.37 |
0.52 |
0.51 |
1.31 |
0.78 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.96 |
3.08 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
0.56 |
1.52 |
0.33 |
0.95 |
| NGM MOS |
2.60 |
0.82 |
1.11 |
2.95 |
2.32 |
-0.37 |
0.00 |
0.65 |
1.26 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| National Weather Service |
891 |
64 |
6 |
6 |
588 |
659 |
7 |
7 |
| Average |
1063 |
40 |
3 |
4 |
778 |
790 |
11 |
10 |
| Jeff Duda |
873 |
7 |
4 |
5 |
681 |
836 |
10 |
11 |
| Jon Hobbs |
1125 |
43 |
3 |
6 |
724 |
728 |
11 |
11 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
873 |
30 |
3 |
2 |
368 |
803 |
15 |
19 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
1121 |
43 |
3 |
5 |
1221 |
818 |
11 |
12 |
| GFS MOS |
1212 |
65 |
3 |
4 |
801 |
850 |
12 |
11 |
| Consensus MOS |
1289 |
65 |
4 |
4 |
950 |
813 |
12 |
11 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1153 |
64 |
4 |
4 |
579 |
825 |
11 |
16 |
| Eta MOS |
1295 |
45 |
3 |
5 |
2107 |
818 |
12 |
14 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1630 |
134 |
3 |
4 |
858 |
820 |
14 |
11 |
| NGM MOS |
1817 |
65 |
4 |
9 |
2080 |
770 |
11 |
12 |
|
