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Des Moines, Day 1

Fort Dodge, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S Overall
NAM MOS -0.12 -0.60 0.00 0.00 0.49 -0.90 0.00 0.00 -0.14
Brandon Fisel -1.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.26 0.85 0.00 -0.04
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Hobbs 0.93 0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.15 -0.37 0.00 0.00 0.09
Ben Moser 2.83 -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.18 -1.11 0.00 0.00 0.13
National Weather Service 0.90 0.11 2.05 0.00 -0.20 -0.53 0.00 0.00 0.29
Consensus MOS -0.22 0.07 2.05 0.00 1.34 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.41
Andrew Ansorge 0.03 -0.25 2.05 1.94 -0.23 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.42
Ethan Milius 0.31 2.65 2.05 1.94 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.00 0.83
GFS Extended MOS 0.56 1.02 2.05 0.00 2.82 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.90
GFS MOS -0.37 0.60 2.05 1.94 2.40 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.90
Tom Maaske 1.21 0.21 2.05 1.94 -0.14 -0.79 3.38 0.00 0.98
Sho Kawazoe 1.65 0.14 2.05 1.94 0.16 1.74 1.69 0.00 1.17
Eric Mykleby 1.18 2.65 2.05 1.94 0.15 1.42 0.00 0.00 1.17
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.28 1.27 2.05 1.94 1.41 2.32 1.69 3.87 1.98


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S
NAM MOS 115 8 0 1 109 56 1 2
Brandon Fisel 77 25 0 1 48 78 2 2
Average 119 25 0 1 61 73 1 2
Jon Hobbs 149 34 0 1 46 66 1 2
Ben Moser 210 10 0 1 43 52 1 2
National Weather Service 148 28 1 1 41 63 1 2
Consensus MOS 112 27 1 1 193 74 1 2
Andrew Ansorge 120 18 1 2 38 69 1 2
Ethan Milius 129 100 1 2 61 68 1 2
GFS Extended MOS 137 54 1 1 339 87 1 2
GFS MOS 107 42 1 2 298 84 1 2
Tom Maaske 158 31 1 2 47 58 5 2
Sho Kawazoe 172 29 1 2 77 106 3 2
Eric Mykleby 157 100 1 2 76 100 1 2
GFS Ensemble MOS 160 61 1 2 200 117 3 4