|
|
Des Moines, Day 1
Fort Dodge, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
NAM MOS |
-0.12 |
-0.60 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.49 |
-0.90 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.14 |
Brandon Fisel |
-1.31 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.13 |
0.26 |
0.85 |
0.00 |
-0.04 |
Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Jon Hobbs |
0.93 |
0.32 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.15 |
-0.37 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
Ben Moser |
2.83 |
-0.53 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.18 |
-1.11 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
National Weather Service |
0.90 |
0.11 |
2.05 |
0.00 |
-0.20 |
-0.53 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.29 |
Consensus MOS |
-0.22 |
0.07 |
2.05 |
0.00 |
1.34 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.41 |
Andrew Ansorge |
0.03 |
-0.25 |
2.05 |
1.94 |
-0.23 |
-0.21 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.42 |
Ethan Milius |
0.31 |
2.65 |
2.05 |
1.94 |
0.00 |
-0.26 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.83 |
GFS Extended MOS |
0.56 |
1.02 |
2.05 |
0.00 |
2.82 |
0.74 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.90 |
GFS MOS |
-0.37 |
0.60 |
2.05 |
1.94 |
2.40 |
0.58 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.90 |
Tom Maaske |
1.21 |
0.21 |
2.05 |
1.94 |
-0.14 |
-0.79 |
3.38 |
0.00 |
0.98 |
Sho Kawazoe |
1.65 |
0.14 |
2.05 |
1.94 |
0.16 |
1.74 |
1.69 |
0.00 |
1.17 |
Eric Mykleby |
1.18 |
2.65 |
2.05 |
1.94 |
0.15 |
1.42 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.17 |
GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.28 |
1.27 |
2.05 |
1.94 |
1.41 |
2.32 |
1.69 |
3.87 |
1.98 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
NAM MOS |
115 |
8 |
0 |
1 |
109 |
56 |
1 |
2 |
Brandon Fisel |
77 |
25 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
78 |
2 |
2 |
Average |
119 |
25 |
0 |
1 |
61 |
73 |
1 |
2 |
Jon Hobbs |
149 |
34 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
66 |
1 |
2 |
Ben Moser |
210 |
10 |
0 |
1 |
43 |
52 |
1 |
2 |
National Weather Service |
148 |
28 |
1 |
1 |
41 |
63 |
1 |
2 |
Consensus MOS |
112 |
27 |
1 |
1 |
193 |
74 |
1 |
2 |
Andrew Ansorge |
120 |
18 |
1 |
2 |
38 |
69 |
1 |
2 |
Ethan Milius |
129 |
100 |
1 |
2 |
61 |
68 |
1 |
2 |
GFS Extended MOS |
137 |
54 |
1 |
1 |
339 |
87 |
1 |
2 |
GFS MOS |
107 |
42 |
1 |
2 |
298 |
84 |
1 |
2 |
Tom Maaske |
158 |
31 |
1 |
2 |
47 |
58 |
5 |
2 |
Sho Kawazoe |
172 |
29 |
1 |
2 |
77 |
106 |
3 |
2 |
Eric Mykleby |
157 |
100 |
1 |
2 |
76 |
100 |
1 |
2 |
GFS Ensemble MOS |
160 |
61 |
1 |
2 |
200 |
117 |
3 |
4 |
|