Presentation Rules Sites Schedule Forecasts Tournament Login

Marshalltown, Day 7/6/5/4

Fort Dodge, Day 7/6/5/4

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P Overall
Nick Carletta 0.38 -0.93 0.48 -1.66 -0.43
Justin Hayward 0.05 0.21 -0.24 -0.24 -0.06
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
GFS Extended MOS -0.38 -0.21 1.47 -0.71 0.04
Jeff Duda 1.53 -0.10 -0.32 -0.35 0.19
Consensus MOS -0.97 0.10 1.69 0.00 0.21
GFS Ensemble MOS -1.16 0.72 1.98 0.71 0.56
Jon Hobbs 1.38 2.16 -0.39 0.71 0.97
National Weather Service 1.29 1.86 -0.60 1.89 1.11


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P
Nick Carletta 412 0 159 0
Justin Hayward 361 11 66 12
Average 354 9 97 14
GFS Extended MOS 296 7 287 8
Jeff Duda 589 8 55 11
Consensus MOS 205 10 316 14
GFS Ensemble MOS 177 16 353 20
Jon Hobbs 566 30 46 20
National Weather Service 551 27 20 30