 |
|
|
Cedar Rapids, Day 1
Cedar Rapids, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Eta MOS |
-1.08 |
0.51 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
1.18 |
-1.49 |
-0.86 |
-1.62 |
-0.36 |
| Jeff Duda |
0.17 |
-1.27 |
-0.34 |
-0.50 |
-0.53 |
-1.45 |
1.71 |
0.00 |
-0.27 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.91 |
-0.36 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.21 |
-0.47 |
-0.86 |
-1.62 |
-0.27 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.15 |
-0.76 |
-1.36 |
-1.50 |
-0.89 |
0.23 |
2.57 |
0.00 |
-0.23 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
-0.19 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
0.82 |
-1.21 |
0.00 |
-1.62 |
-0.20 |
| Brandon Engelson |
-1.41 |
-0.53 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-1.45 |
2.29 |
0.86 |
0.00 |
-0.03 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.46 |
0.08 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.43 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.17 |
-0.49 |
-0.34 |
0.00 |
0.66 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
-0.34 |
-0.65 |
2.04 |
0.00 |
0.29 |
0.79 |
-0.86 |
0.00 |
0.16 |
| GFS MOS |
1.76 |
-0.49 |
-0.34 |
0.00 |
1.34 |
0.23 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.31 |
| Nick Carletta |
0.00 |
1.14 |
2.04 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.19 |
-0.86 |
0.00 |
0.33 |
| John Baranick |
-0.10 |
2.68 |
1.70 |
2.50 |
0.67 |
-0.56 |
-0.86 |
-1.62 |
0.55 |
| NGM MOS |
0.95 |
0.25 |
0.00 |
-0.50 |
2.10 |
0.65 |
0.86 |
1.62 |
0.74 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.36 |
1.56 |
1.70 |
2.50 |
-0.75 |
-0.42 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.74 |
| Brandon Fisel |
2.34 |
0.82 |
-0.34 |
0.50 |
2.07 |
1.45 |
0.86 |
1.62 |
1.16 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Eta MOS |
108 |
122 |
5 |
6 |
336 |
89 |
1 |
1 |
| Jeff Duda |
181 |
38 |
4 |
4 |
165 |
90 |
4 |
2 |
| Jon Hobbs |
224 |
81 |
5 |
5 |
239 |
111 |
1 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
162 |
62 |
1 |
2 |
129 |
126 |
5 |
2 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
160 |
101 |
5 |
6 |
300 |
95 |
2 |
1 |
| Brandon Engelson |
89 |
73 |
5 |
5 |
73 |
170 |
3 |
2 |
| Average |
171 |
98 |
5 |
5 |
218 |
121 |
2 |
2 |
| Consensus MOS |
198 |
102 |
5 |
5 |
261 |
121 |
2 |
2 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
239 |
75 |
4 |
5 |
284 |
121 |
2 |
2 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
151 |
67 |
11 |
5 |
247 |
138 |
1 |
2 |
| GFS MOS |
273 |
75 |
4 |
5 |
352 |
126 |
2 |
2 |
| Nick Carletta |
171 |
152 |
11 |
5 |
228 |
125 |
1 |
2 |
| John Baranick |
165 |
225 |
10 |
10 |
285 |
109 |
1 |
1 |
| NGM MOS |
226 |
110 |
5 |
4 |
428 |
135 |
3 |
3 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
250 |
172 |
10 |
10 |
143 |
112 |
2 |
2 |
| Brandon Fisel |
307 |
137 |
4 |
6 |
425 |
152 |
3 |
3 |
|
