 |
|
|
Ottumwa, Day 1
Fort Dodge, Day 1
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
|
Overall
|
| GFS MOS |
77.1 |
78.8 |
75.9 |
80.0 |
71.5 |
72.1 |
70.7 |
80.0 |
|
75.77 |
| Consensus MOS |
79.7 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
78.2 |
79.1 |
70.7 |
80.0 |
|
78.47 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
80.6 |
76.5 |
75.9 |
80.0 |
83.6 |
80.9 |
75.4 |
80.0 |
|
79.11 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
78.0 |
96.4 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
70.7 |
70.4 |
77.7 |
80.0 |
|
79.15 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| Jon Hobbs |
87.3 |
69.4 |
84.1 |
80.0 |
80.7 |
93.1 |
96.2 |
80.0 |
|
83.86 |
| Eta MOS |
87.3 |
75.3 |
71.9 |
80.0 |
108.3 |
97.1 |
84.6 |
80.0 |
|
85.56 |
| NGM MOS |
74.8 |
68.3 |
75.9 |
113.3 |
85.4 |
72.6 |
93.9 |
105.0 |
|
86.14 |
| National Weather Service |
91.7 |
80.0 |
71.9 |
80.0 |
79.0 |
99.7 |
96.2 |
105.0 |
|
87.94 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
110.6 |
101.1 |
108.4 |
80.0 |
87.6 |
84.8 |
70.7 |
80.0 |
|
90.41 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| GFS MOS |
54 |
175 |
3 |
0 |
35 |
95 |
3 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
63 |
176 |
4 |
0 |
112 |
111 |
3 |
0 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
66 |
173 |
3 |
0 |
173 |
115 |
5 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
57 |
190 |
4 |
0 |
27 |
91 |
6 |
0 |
| Average |
64 |
176 |
4 |
0 |
132 |
113 |
7 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
89 |
167 |
5 |
0 |
140 |
143 |
14 |
0 |
| Eta MOS |
89 |
172 |
2 |
0 |
453 |
152 |
9 |
0 |
| NGM MOS |
46 |
166 |
3 |
1 |
193 |
96 |
13 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
104 |
176 |
2 |
0 |
121 |
158 |
14 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
169 |
194 |
11 |
0 |
218 |
124 |
3 |
0 |
|
