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Estherville, Day 7

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P Overall
National Weather Service -1.19 0.67 -1.31 -2.34 -1.04
Ben Moser -2.41 -0.31 -0.99 -0.46 -1.04
Andrew Ansorge 0.01 0.00 -2.21 0.06 -0.54
Eric Mykleby -1.44 0.52 -1.76 0.57 -0.53
Jon Hobbs -0.18 -0.67 0.36 -0.74 -0.31
GFS Extended MOS -0.39 0.15 -0.09 0.00 -0.08
Mike Kochasic -0.64 -1.65 0.78 1.31 -0.05
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zachary Mangin 0.46 0.52 -0.48 0.57 0.27
Consensus MOS 0.47 0.67 0.14 0.57 0.46
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.38 0.10 0.75 0.11 0.59
Ethan Milius -0.07 2.58 0.11 0.80 0.85
Sho Kawazoe 0.76 1.34 0.93 1.66 1.17


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P
National Weather Service 1140 103 642 49
Ben Moser 1036 84 678 82
Andrew Ansorge 1243 90 541 91
Eric Mykleby 1119 100 592 100
Jon Hobbs 1227 77 829 77
GFS Extended MOS 1209 93 779 90
Mike Kochasic 1187 58 877 113
Average 1242 90 789 90
Zachary Mangin 1281 100 735 100
Consensus MOS 1282 103 805 100
GFS Ensemble MOS 1360 92 873 92
Ethan Milius 1236 140 801 104
Sho Kawazoe 1307 116 893 119