 |
|
|
Des Moines, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Justin Hayward |
1.43 |
-0.19 |
-0.44 |
0.00 |
0.69 |
-0.67 |
-1.27 |
-1.80 |
-0.28 |
| Jeff Duda |
1.83 |
-0.19 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.65 |
-1.93 |
-1.27 |
-1.80 |
-0.21 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.03 |
0.97 |
-0.44 |
-0.42 |
-0.77 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.03 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.22 |
-0.19 |
-0.44 |
-0.42 |
1.06 |
-0.04 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
| GFS MOS |
-0.59 |
0.58 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.19 |
0.41 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.22 |
1.55 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-1.30 |
0.59 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.08 |
| National Weather Service |
1.83 |
0.58 |
-0.44 |
-0.42 |
1.36 |
-0.30 |
-1.27 |
0.00 |
0.17 |
| Chris Schaffer |
0.03 |
-0.19 |
-0.44 |
0.00 |
1.44 |
1.11 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.24 |
| Justin Wittrock |
0.22 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.68 |
0.70 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.32 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
1.55 |
-0.19 |
0.00 |
-0.42 |
0.51 |
-0.41 |
2.55 |
1.80 |
0.67 |
| NAM MOS |
0.99 |
1.74 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-1.06 |
1.97 |
1.27 |
1.80 |
0.84 |
| David Coberly |
0.19 |
-0.19 |
3.49 |
3.36 |
-0.11 |
1.74 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.06 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.80 |
3.10 |
0.00 |
1.26 |
0.69 |
0.78 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.08 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Justin Hayward |
85 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
211 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| Jeff Duda |
98 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
247 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
38 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
156 |
67 |
1 |
1 |
| Average |
39 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
185 |
55 |
1 |
1 |
| Jon Hobbs |
46 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
225 |
54 |
1 |
1 |
| GFS MOS |
20 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
178 |
66 |
1 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
32 |
9 |
1 |
2 |
136 |
71 |
1 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
98 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
236 |
47 |
0 |
1 |
| Chris Schaffer |
40 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
239 |
85 |
1 |
1 |
| Justin Wittrock |
46 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
248 |
74 |
1 |
1 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
89 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
204 |
44 |
3 |
2 |
| NAM MOS |
71 |
10 |
1 |
2 |
145 |
108 |
2 |
2 |
| David Coberly |
45 |
0 |
9 |
10 |
181 |
102 |
1 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
129 |
17 |
1 |
5 |
211 |
76 |
1 |
1 |
|
