 |
|
|
Estherville, Day 7/6/5/4
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
T |
P |
Overall |
| Nick Carletta |
-1.09 |
-1.01 |
-0.54 |
-1.14 |
-0.94 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.34 |
-0.37 |
-1.51 |
-0.97 |
-0.80 |
| National Weather Service |
-1.04 |
0.21 |
-0.76 |
-0.54 |
-0.53 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.60 |
-0.58 |
0.52 |
-1.37 |
-0.51 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
0.47 |
0.17 |
-2.27 |
-0.14 |
-0.45 |
| Jason Patton |
0.33 |
-0.54 |
0.27 |
-1.05 |
-0.25 |
| Ryan Alliss |
0.43 |
-1.24 |
0.92 |
-0.34 |
-0.06 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.46 |
0.54 |
-0.09 |
1.05 |
0.26 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
0.07 |
0.35 |
0.47 |
0.29 |
0.30 |
| Jeff Duda |
0.74 |
1.18 |
-0.42 |
0.34 |
0.46 |
| John Baranick |
-0.30 |
1.75 |
0.40 |
1.11 |
0.74 |
| Jayson Prentice |
-0.74 |
2.29 |
-0.59 |
2.17 |
0.78 |
| Brandon Fisel |
2.89 |
-0.06 |
1.68 |
-0.43 |
1.02 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
T |
P |
| Nick Carletta |
725 |
21 |
812 |
36 |
| Consensus MOS |
816 |
52 |
734 |
42 |
| National Weather Service |
731 |
80 |
794 |
57 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
785 |
42 |
897 |
28 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
915 |
78 |
673 |
71 |
| Jason Patton |
898 |
44 |
877 |
39 |
| Ryan Alliss |
911 |
10 |
929 |
64 |
| Average |
858 |
70 |
855 |
76 |
| Jon Hobbs |
802 |
96 |
848 |
113 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
867 |
87 |
893 |
86 |
| Jeff Duda |
948 |
127 |
821 |
88 |
| John Baranick |
822 |
155 |
887 |
115 |
| Jayson Prentice |
768 |
181 |
808 |
152 |
| Brandon Fisel |
1210 |
67 |
990 |
61 |
|
