 |
|
|
Cedar Rapids, Day 2.5
Normalized Scores
|
12-00Z |
00-12Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
|
Overall
|
| Jon Hobbs |
77.6 |
90.8 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
79.6 |
71.0 |
74.1 |
70.5 |
|
77.95 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
77.6 |
94.1 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
73.0 |
69.6 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
79.29 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| Chris Schaffer |
85.2 |
72.4 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
103.7 |
65.1 |
74.1 |
80.0 |
|
80.07 |
| Brandon Engelson |
87.8 |
74.6 |
70.3 |
80.0 |
100.5 |
79.3 |
80.0 |
70.5 |
|
80.36 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
80.1 |
84.3 |
70.3 |
80.0 |
74.1 |
85.5 |
89.9 |
80.0 |
|
80.53 |
| National Weather Service |
79.9 |
91.9 |
89.7 |
80.0 |
85.6 |
69.9 |
82.0 |
70.5 |
|
81.19 |
| Jayson Prentice |
83.3 |
72.4 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
82.2 |
97.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
81.87 |
| Consensus MOS |
79.9 |
87.6 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
76.4 |
81.4 |
89.9 |
80.0 |
|
81.88 |
| Eta MOS |
103.6 |
84.3 |
70.3 |
80.0 |
92.2 |
75.8 |
80.0 |
70.5 |
|
82.10 |
| Justin Wittrock |
92.7 |
72.4 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
96.9 |
96.6 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
84.83 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
69.1 |
85.4 |
109.2 |
80.0 |
81.7 |
85.5 |
103.6 |
70.5 |
|
85.64 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
86.1 |
100.6 |
89.7 |
80.0 |
89.2 |
83.5 |
97.7 |
70.5 |
|
87.17 |
| GFS MOS |
61.2 |
101.7 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
75.5 |
91.8 |
103.6 |
108.5 |
|
87.79 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Jon Hobbs |
326 |
17 |
1 |
0 |
226 |
26 |
1 |
0 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
326 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
173 |
22 |
4 |
1 |
| Average |
342 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
229 |
52 |
4 |
1 |
| Chris Schaffer |
377 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
419 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
| Brandon Engelson |
394 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
393 |
50 |
4 |
0 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
343 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
182 |
68 |
9 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
341 |
18 |
2 |
0 |
274 |
23 |
5 |
0 |
| Jayson Prentice |
364 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
247 |
101 |
4 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
341 |
14 |
1 |
0 |
200 |
56 |
9 |
1 |
| Eta MOS |
500 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
327 |
40 |
4 |
0 |
| Justin Wittrock |
427 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
364 |
100 |
4 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
269 |
12 |
4 |
0 |
243 |
68 |
16 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
383 |
26 |
2 |
0 |
303 |
62 |
13 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
216 |
27 |
1 |
0 |
193 |
86 |
16 |
4 |
|