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Cedar Rapids, Day 2.5

Normalized Scores

12-00Z 00-12Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S Overall
Jon Hobbs 77.6 90.8 80.0 80.0 79.6 71.0 74.1 70.5 77.95
Andrew Ansorge 77.6 94.1 80.0 80.0 73.0 69.6 80.0 80.0 79.29
Average 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.00
Chris Schaffer 85.2 72.4 80.0 80.0 103.7 65.1 74.1 80.0 80.07
Brandon Engelson 87.8 74.6 70.3 80.0 100.5 79.3 80.0 70.5 80.36
Eta/GFS MOS 80.1 84.3 70.3 80.0 74.1 85.5 89.9 80.0 80.53
National Weather Service 79.9 91.9 89.7 80.0 85.6 69.9 82.0 70.5 81.19
Jayson Prentice 83.3 72.4 80.0 80.0 82.2 97.0 80.0 80.0 81.87
Consensus MOS 79.9 87.6 80.0 80.0 76.4 81.4 89.9 80.0 81.88
Eta MOS 103.6 84.3 70.3 80.0 92.2 75.8 80.0 70.5 82.10
Justin Wittrock 92.7 72.4 80.0 80.0 96.9 96.6 80.0 80.0 84.83
GFS Extended MOS 69.1 85.4 109.2 80.0 81.7 85.5 103.6 70.5 85.64
GFS Ensemble MOS 86.1 100.6 89.7 80.0 89.2 83.5 97.7 70.5 87.17
GFS MOS 61.2 101.7 80.0 80.0 75.5 91.8 103.6 108.5 87.79


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S
Jon Hobbs 326 17 1 0 226 26 1 0
Andrew Ansorge 326 20 1 0 173 22 4 1
Average 342 7 1 0 229 52 4 1
Chris Schaffer 377 0 1 0 419 9 1 1
Brandon Engelson 394 2 0 0 393 50 4 0
Eta/GFS MOS 343 11 0 0 182 68 9 1
National Weather Service 341 18 2 0 274 23 5 0
Jayson Prentice 364 0 1 0 247 101 4 1
Consensus MOS 341 14 1 0 200 56 9 1
Eta MOS 500 11 0 0 327 40 4 0
Justin Wittrock 427 0 1 0 364 100 4 1
GFS Extended MOS 269 12 4 0 243 68 16 0
GFS Ensemble MOS 383 26 2 0 303 62 13 0
GFS MOS 216 27 1 0 193 86 16 4