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Cedar Rapids, Day 2.5

Final Results

Normalized Scores

12-00Z 00-12Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Eric Mykleby -0.16 -1.10 0.00 0.00 -0.48 0.00 -0.29
Brandon Fisel -0.10 -0.12 0.00 -0.18 -0.48 0.00 -0.15
Andrew Ansorge 0.55 -0.85 0.00 0.30 -0.36 0.00 -0.06
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
National Weather Service -0.03 0.07 0.36 0.18 0.48 0.00 0.18
Ethan Milius -0.10 1.44 0.36 0.26 -0.48 0.00 0.25
Ben Moser -0.68 -0.12 0.36 -0.02 0.24 2.29 0.34
Jon Hobbs 0.26 0.00 1.82 0.70 0.24 0.00 0.50
GFS Ensemble MOS 0.42 0.76 2.18 0.40 0.48 0.00 0.71
Tom Maaske -0.21 -0.46 -1.09 3.00 0.72 2.29 0.71
Sho Kawazoe 0.45 2.22 2.18 -0.20 -0.24 0.00 0.74
GFS MOS 2.99 -0.07 0.00 1.57 0.60 0.00 0.85
Zachary Mangin -0.26 -0.88 0.00 0.44 3.82 2.29 0.90
Consensus MOS 1.23 0.76 1.82 1.21 0.48 0.00 0.92
Mike Kochasic -0.37 2.22 0.36 1.35 0.00 2.29 0.98
GFS Extended MOS 2.52 0.76 1.82 1.15 0.36 0.00 1.10
NAM MOS 1.00 1.17 1.82 3.00 1.08 0.00 1.34


Raw Squared Error

12-00Z 00-12Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Eric Mykleby 46 0 4 104 0 0
Brandon Fisel 48 40 4 95 0 0
Andrew Ansorge 73 10 4 119 1 0
Average 52 45 4 104 4 0
National Weather Service 51 48 5 113 8 0
Ethan Milius 48 104 5 117 0 0
Ben Moser 26 40 5 103 6 1
Jon Hobbs 62 45 9 139 6 0
GFS Ensemble MOS 68 76 10 124 8 0
Tom Maaske 44 26 1 255 10 1
Sho Kawazoe 69 136 10 94 2 0
GFS MOS 166 42 4 183 9 0
Zachary Mangin 42 9 4 126 36 1
Consensus MOS 99 76 9 165 8 0
Mike Kochasic 38 136 5 172 4 1
GFS Extended MOS 148 76 9 162 7 0
NAM MOS 90 93 9 255 13 0