 |
|
|
Spencer, Day 2.5
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Justin Wittrock |
-0.68 |
-1.45 |
0.73 |
0.00 |
-0.87 |
-1.83 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.51 |
| Nick Carletta |
0.08 |
-1.19 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.05 |
-1.42 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.18 |
| Chris Schaffer |
1.03 |
-0.59 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.88 |
-0.18 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.08 |
| Jeff Duda |
-0.20 |
-0.73 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.27 |
0.27 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.05 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| National Weather Service |
1.26 |
-0.20 |
0.73 |
0.00 |
-1.07 |
-0.14 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.25 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.27 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
| Justin Hayward |
1.49 |
-0.13 |
0.73 |
0.00 |
-0.95 |
0.05 |
0.77 |
0.00 |
0.24 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.08 |
0.79 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.88 |
1.14 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
0.39 |
| NAM MOS |
0.10 |
0.73 |
1.46 |
0.00 |
1.74 |
0.18 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.53 |
| GFS MOS |
0.48 |
2.18 |
0.73 |
0.00 |
0.18 |
1.46 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
0.68 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.16 |
1.52 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.58 |
1.83 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
0.68 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
0.10 |
0.73 |
0.00 |
3.74 |
1.97 |
1.05 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
1.00 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
3.30 |
-0.13 |
3.65 |
0.00 |
-0.73 |
-0.09 |
3.84 |
0.00 |
1.23 |
Raw Squared Error
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Justin Wittrock |
73 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
324 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Nick Carletta |
103 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
492 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| Chris Schaffer |
141 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
323 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| Jeff Duda |
92 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
424 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
| Average |
100 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
400 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
150 |
19 |
1 |
0 |
307 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
110 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
409 |
46 |
1 |
0 |
| Justin Hayward |
159 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
317 |
41 |
2 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
97 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
477 |
65 |
1 |
0 |
| NAM MOS |
104 |
33 |
2 |
0 |
552 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
119 |
55 |
1 |
0 |
416 |
72 |
1 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
146 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
451 |
80 |
1 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
104 |
33 |
0 |
1 |
572 |
63 |
1 |
0 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
231 |
20 |
5 |
0 |
336 |
38 |
10 |
0 |
|
