 |
|
|
Waterloo, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.99 |
0.27 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.02 |
0.03 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.16 |
| National Weather Service |
0.42 |
-0.31 |
1.28 |
0.00 |
0.37 |
0.03 |
1.75 |
0.00 |
0.44 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.67 |
0.58 |
1.28 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.99 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.45 |
| Brandon Engelson |
0.31 |
-0.22 |
2.56 |
0.00 |
1.14 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.49 |
| NGM MOS |
-0.21 |
0.31 |
1.28 |
0.00 |
0.87 |
0.50 |
1.16 |
0.00 |
0.49 |
| Jayson Prentice |
0.93 |
-0.63 |
1.28 |
0.00 |
0.72 |
-1.29 |
0.58 |
3.17 |
0.60 |
| Jeff Duda |
1.92 |
0.98 |
2.56 |
0.00 |
0.52 |
-0.96 |
1.16 |
0.00 |
0.77 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
0.42 |
-0.04 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.18 |
1.42 |
2.33 |
0.00 |
0.79 |
| Ryan Alliss |
0.57 |
1.74 |
1.28 |
0.00 |
0.96 |
0.46 |
1.75 |
0.00 |
0.85 |
| GFS MOS |
1.66 |
0.49 |
1.28 |
0.00 |
2.92 |
0.56 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.86 |
| Justin Wittrock |
2.85 |
-0.63 |
1.28 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
2.02 |
1.16 |
0.00 |
0.87 |
| Brandon Fisel |
1.04 |
1.74 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.91 |
2.02 |
1.75 |
0.00 |
0.93 |
| Nick Carletta |
-0.52 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
3.17 |
0.54 |
0.50 |
1.16 |
3.17 |
0.99 |
| Eta MOS |
-0.36 |
-0.18 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.79 |
2.22 |
3.49 |
0.00 |
0.99 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
2.18 |
2.14 |
2.56 |
0.00 |
1.41 |
-0.30 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.00 |
| John Baranick |
1.45 |
2.50 |
2.56 |
0.00 |
-0.57 |
1.49 |
2.33 |
0.00 |
1.22 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.91 |
2.10 |
2.56 |
0.00 |
0.49 |
1.52 |
0.58 |
0.00 |
1.27 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
1.09 |
1.21 |
1.28 |
3.17 |
2.57 |
1.55 |
0.58 |
0.00 |
1.43 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Average |
70 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
39 |
1 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
89 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
40 |
1 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
78 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
79 |
40 |
4 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
83 |
27 |
1 |
0 |
66 |
69 |
1 |
0 |
| Brandon Engelson |
76 |
9 |
2 |
0 |
110 |
42 |
1 |
0 |
| NGM MOS |
66 |
21 |
1 |
0 |
99 |
54 |
3 |
0 |
| Jayson Prentice |
88 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
93 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
| Jeff Duda |
107 |
36 |
2 |
0 |
85 |
10 |
3 |
0 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
78 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
152 |
82 |
5 |
0 |
| Ryan Alliss |
81 |
53 |
1 |
0 |
103 |
53 |
4 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
102 |
25 |
1 |
0 |
182 |
56 |
1 |
0 |
| Justin Wittrock |
125 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
76 |
100 |
3 |
0 |
| Brandon Fisel |
90 |
53 |
0 |
0 |
101 |
100 |
4 |
0 |
| Nick Carletta |
60 |
11 |
0 |
1 |
86 |
54 |
3 |
1 |
| Eta MOS |
63 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
177 |
106 |
7 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
112 |
62 |
2 |
0 |
121 |
30 |
1 |
0 |
| John Baranick |
98 |
70 |
2 |
0 |
41 |
84 |
5 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
126 |
61 |
2 |
0 |
84 |
85 |
2 |
0 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
91 |
41 |
1 |
1 |
168 |
86 |
2 |
0 |
|
