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Waterloo, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S Overall
Brandon Engelson -1.57 -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.73 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.45
Jayson Prentice -0.41 -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.38 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.27
Jon Hobbs -0.62 -0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.25
Chris Schaffer 0.35 -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.35 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.17
Jacob Hamblin 0.02 -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.37 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.17
Justin Wittrock 0.81 -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.14 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.08
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Consensus MOS -0.31 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10
Eta MOS -0.90 -0.35 0.00 0.00 1.55 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.12
NGM MOS 0.05 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13
Whitney Sager 3.00 -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.47 -0.64 0.00 0.00 0.15
Ben Schwedler 1.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25
Eta/GFS MOS -0.19 0.70 0.00 0.00 1.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29
GFS Extended MOS 1.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 1.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37
National Weather Service 0.00 1.05 0.00 0.00 -0.54 3.19 0.00 0.00 0.46
Andrew Ansorge 0.86 1.76 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61
GFS MOS 0.86 1.76 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61
GFS Ensemble MOS 0.81 2.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.91 0.00 0.00 0.65


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S
Brandon Engelson 132 0 0 0 16 0 0 0
Jayson Prentice 229 0 0 0 47 0 0 0
Jon Hobbs 211 0 0 0 80 0 0 0
Chris Schaffer 292 0 0 0 49 0 0 0
Jacob Hamblin 265 1 0 0 48 0 0 0
Justin Wittrock 331 0 0 0 68 0 0 0
Average 263 2 0 0 80 1 0 0
Consensus MOS 237 4 0 0 115 1 0 0
Eta MOS 188 1 0 0 216 2 0 0
NGM MOS 267 4 0 0 107 1 0 0
Whitney Sager 514 0 0 0 39 0 0 0
Ben Schwedler 350 2 0 0 163 1 0 0
Eta/GFS MOS 247 4 0 0 240 1 0 0
GFS Extended MOS 364 3 0 0 201 1 0 0
National Weather Service 263 5 0 0 33 6 0 0
Andrew Ansorge 335 7 0 0 278 1 0 0
GFS MOS 335 7 0 0 278 1 0 0
GFS Ensemble MOS 331 9 0 0 80 4 0 0