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Burlington, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

03-18Z
Forecaster W C V Overall
Chris Schaffer -0.47 -0.15 -0.21 -0.28
National Weather Service 0.00 -0.58 -0.14 -0.24
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Hobbs 0.47 -0.58 0.28 0.06
Nick Carletta 1.42 -0.53 0.07 0.32
GFS MOS 0.47 1.74 -0.28 0.64
Justin Wittrock 1.90 -0.34 0.43 0.66
Justin Hayward 0.95 0.58 0.64 0.72
Consensus MOS 0.47 1.79 0.50 0.92
Jeff Duda 1.42 1.55 0.21 1.06
NAM MOS -0.47 1.79 2.85 1.39
Elizabeth Suess 2.85 1.02 2.35 2.07


Raw Squared Error

03-18Z
Forecaster W C V
Chris Schaffer 4 16 22
National Weather Service 5 7 23
Average 5 19 25
Jon Hobbs 6 7 29
Nick Carletta 8 8 26
GFS MOS 6 55 21
Justin Wittrock 9 12 31
Justin Hayward 7 31 34
Consensus MOS 6 56 32
Jeff Duda 8 51 28
NAM MOS 4 56 65
Elizabeth Suess 11 40 58