Presentation Rules Sites Schedule Forecasts Tournament Login

Lamoni, Day 2

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Jayson Prentice -0.18 0.47 -1.31 0.60 -0.49 0.00 -0.15
National Weather Service 0.24 -0.70 0.00 0.36 -0.28 0.00 -0.06
GFS MOS -0.47 -1.30 0.00 1.46 0.09 0.00 -0.04
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
GFS Extended MOS 0.38 -1.53 0.00 1.49 -0.49 0.51 0.06
Consensus MOS 0.18 -0.33 0.00 0.36 0.06 0.51 0.13
Eta/GFS MOS -0.21 -0.23 0.44 0.00 0.31 0.51 0.14
John Baranick -0.65 0.70 2.18 0.00 -0.71 -0.51 0.17
Nick Carletta 1.77 0.00 -0.44 1.28 -0.49 0.51 0.44
Ryan Alliss -0.03 0.98 0.00 0.36 0.89 0.51 0.45
GFS Ensemble MOS 0.68 -0.65 0.00 1.35 0.68 1.52 0.60
Justin Wittrock 1.33 0.47 0.00 -0.64 1.33 1.52 0.67
NGM MOS 0.62 -0.60 2.18 3.27 -0.03 -0.51 0.82
Jon Hobbs -0.12 1.44 2.18 0.67 1.02 0.00 0.87
Eta MOS 1.00 1.44 0.44 0.36 1.17 1.01 0.90
Brandon Fisel 0.27 1.63 0.00 1.46 -0.86 4.04 1.09
Jeff Duda 1.77 1.72 0.87 -0.28 2.28 0.51 1.14
Brandon Engelson -0.94 1.26 2.18 1.38 2.84 0.51 1.20
Elizabeth Suess 3.21 1.02 0.87 2.73 0.06 0.51 1.40


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Jayson Prentice 82 100 2 48 41 1
National Weather Service 96 75 5 41 48 1
GFS MOS 72 62 5 72 60 1
Average 88 90 5 31 57 1
GFS Extended MOS 101 57 5 73 41 2
Consensus MOS 94 83 5 41 59 2
Eta/GFS MOS 81 85 6 31 67 2
John Baranick 66 105 10 31 34 0
Nick Carletta 148 90 4 67 41 2
Ryan Alliss 87 111 5 41 86 2
GFS Ensemble MOS 111 76 5 69 79 4
Justin Wittrock 133 100 5 13 100 4
NGM MOS 109 77 10 123 56 0
Jon Hobbs 84 121 10 50 90 1
Eta MOS 122 121 6 41 95 3
Brandon Fisel 97 125 5 72 29 9
Jeff Duda 148 127 7 23 131 2
Brandon Engelson 56 117 10 70 149 2
Elizabeth Suess 197 112 7 108 59 2