 |
|
|
Ames, Day 4/3/2/1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Justin Wittrock |
-0.03 |
-1.34 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-1.21 |
-0.22 |
-0.47 |
| Jayson Prentice |
0.27 |
-1.34 |
0.00 |
0.39 |
-0.47 |
-0.22 |
-0.23 |
| Brandon Engelson |
0.24 |
-1.34 |
0.00 |
1.34 |
-1.21 |
-0.22 |
-0.20 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Chris Schaffer |
0.09 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
-0.12 |
0.28 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
0.90 |
-0.19 |
0.00 |
0.16 |
1.03 |
0.00 |
0.32 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
0.18 |
0.57 |
0.31 |
0.38 |
0.65 |
0.00 |
0.35 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.19 |
1.31 |
0.00 |
0.35 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.06 |
1.15 |
0.31 |
-0.04 |
1.21 |
0.00 |
0.45 |
| Jon Hobbs |
1.27 |
0.77 |
0.00 |
-0.31 |
1.21 |
-0.22 |
0.45 |
| Ben Schwedler |
1.90 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
-0.63 |
0.19 |
0.90 |
0.46 |
| National Weather Service |
1.99 |
2.11 |
0.63 |
-0.42 |
1.77 |
0.45 |
1.09 |
| Jacob Hamblin |
3.41 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
3.32 |
1.96 |
0.00 |
1.51 |
| Whitney Sager |
0.75 |
0.96 |
3.77 |
0.88 |
0.84 |
3.60 |
1.80 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Justin Wittrock |
34 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| Jayson Prentice |
44 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
8 |
0 |
| Brandon Engelson |
43 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
0 |
0 |
| Average |
35 |
7 |
0 |
57 |
13 |
1 |
| Chris Schaffer |
38 |
9 |
0 |
49 |
16 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
65 |
6 |
0 |
68 |
24 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
41 |
10 |
1 |
83 |
20 |
1 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
68 |
7 |
0 |
44 |
27 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
37 |
13 |
1 |
54 |
26 |
1 |
| Jon Hobbs |
77 |
11 |
0 |
36 |
26 |
0 |
| Ben Schwedler |
98 |
9 |
0 |
14 |
15 |
5 |
| National Weather Service |
101 |
18 |
2 |
28 |
32 |
3 |
| Jacob Hamblin |
148 |
9 |
0 |
284 |
34 |
1 |
| Whitney Sager |
60 |
12 |
12 |
117 |
22 |
17 |
|