 |
|
|
Quad Cities, Day 2
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
|
Overall
|
| Justin Wittrock |
73.9 |
57.9 |
80.0 |
96.1 |
86.1 |
73.4 |
|
77.90 |
| Jayson Prentice |
77.6 |
87.8 |
80.0 |
86.6 |
63.4 |
73.4 |
|
78.13 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| National Weather Service |
82.1 |
74.9 |
110.4 |
74.3 |
68.6 |
73.4 |
|
80.62 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
91.1 |
73.7 |
69.9 |
93.3 |
82.6 |
80.0 |
|
81.76 |
| Chris Schaffer |
95.8 |
72.8 |
69.9 |
83.1 |
69.5 |
99.9 |
|
81.83 |
| Jon Hobbs |
83.8 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
89.7 |
87.9 |
80.0 |
|
83.56 |
| Consensus MOS |
86.6 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
88.1 |
88.8 |
80.0 |
|
83.90 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
86.6 |
83.9 |
80.0 |
85.0 |
94.9 |
80.0 |
|
85.06 |
| Eta MOS |
103.1 |
64.2 |
80.0 |
104.0 |
82.6 |
80.0 |
|
85.64 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
102.8 |
87.2 |
80.0 |
90.4 |
94.0 |
80.0 |
|
89.08 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
96.7 |
88.1 |
80.0 |
109.4 |
71.2 |
99.9 |
|
90.89 |
| GFS MOS |
102.4 |
93.1 |
90.1 |
102.5 |
78.2 |
99.9 |
|
94.39 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Justin Wittrock |
107 |
0 |
1 |
152 |
100 |
1 |
| Jayson Prentice |
123 |
100 |
1 |
112 |
74 |
1 |
| Average |
133 |
74 |
1 |
84 |
93 |
2 |
| National Weather Service |
142 |
57 |
4 |
60 |
80 |
1 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
180 |
53 |
0 |
140 |
96 |
2 |
| Chris Schaffer |
200 |
50 |
0 |
97 |
81 |
5 |
| Jon Hobbs |
149 |
74 |
1 |
125 |
102 |
2 |
| Consensus MOS |
161 |
74 |
1 |
118 |
103 |
2 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
161 |
87 |
1 |
105 |
110 |
2 |
| Eta MOS |
231 |
21 |
1 |
185 |
96 |
2 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
230 |
98 |
1 |
128 |
109 |
2 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
204 |
101 |
1 |
208 |
83 |
5 |
| GFS MOS |
228 |
118 |
2 |
179 |
91 |
5 |
|
