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Dubuque, Day 7/6/5/4

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P Overall
GFS Extended MOS -1.24 0.00 -0.65 0.08 -0.45
Consensus MOS -0.91 0.00 -0.31 -0.55 -0.44
GFS Ensemble MOS -0.65 -0.51 0.30 -0.72 -0.39
National Weather Service 0.32 -1.16 -0.25 -0.38 -0.37
Andrew Ansorge -0.32 -0.42 -0.37 -0.17 -0.32
Jon Hobbs -0.16 -0.39 -0.60 0.17 -0.24
Eric Mykleby -0.37 1.40 -0.50 -1.05 -0.13
Brandon Fisel -0.98 1.40 -0.64 -0.30 -0.13
Sho Kawazoe -0.56 0.33 0.29 -0.38 -0.08
Ben Moser -0.19 0.86 -0.59 -0.21 -0.03
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zachary Mangin -0.65 -1.34 0.47 2.83 0.33
Mike Kochasic 0.49 1.52 0.53 -1.05 0.37
Ethan Milius -0.27 1.07 0.19 0.89 0.47
Tom Maaske 3.03 1.87 3.36 1.31 2.39


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P
GFS Extended MOS 417 353 96 36
Consensus MOS 465 353 155 21
GFS Ensemble MOS 503 336 259 17
National Weather Service 642 314 165 25
Andrew Ansorge 550 339 145 30
Jon Hobbs 573 340 105 38
Eric Mykleby 542 400 122 9
Brandon Fisel 455 400 99 27
Sho Kawazoe 516 364 258 25
Ben Moser 568 382 107 29
Average 596 353 208 34
Zachary Mangin 503 308 289 101
Mike Kochasic 667 404 298 9
Ethan Milius 557 389 240 55
Tom Maaske 1033 416 784 65