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Mason City, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

03-18Z
Forecaster W C V Overall
Consensus MOS -0.87 -0.39 -0.50 -0.59
Jayson Prentice -0.29 -0.29 -1.00 -0.53
Eta/GFS MOS -0.87 0.10 -0.50 -0.42
Brandon Engelson 0.29 -0.78 0.00 -0.16
Eta MOS -0.29 -0.20 0.00 -0.16
Jon Hobbs 0.00 -0.39 0.25 -0.05
NGM MOS -0.58 0.20 0.25 -0.04
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jeff Duda -0.87 -0.20 1.25 0.06
Ryan Alliss 0.29 0.68 -0.75 0.07
Justin Wittrock -0.58 1.17 0.00 0.20
John Baranick 0.00 0.29 1.00 0.43
Brandon Fisel 0.29 0.00 1.75 0.68
Jason Patton 0.58 0.59 1.50 0.89
Elizabeth Suess 1.44 1.66 0.25 1.12
GFS MOS -0.87 1.66 3.01 1.27
National Weather Service 2.02 1.66 1.00 1.56
Nick Carletta 2.60 3.12 0.75 2.16


Raw Squared Error

03-18Z
Forecaster W C V
Consensus MOS 3 7 8
Jayson Prentice 5 8 6
Eta/GFS MOS 3 12 8
Brandon Engelson 7 3 10
Eta MOS 5 9 10
Jon Hobbs 6 7 11
NGM MOS 4 13 11
Average 6 11 10
Jeff Duda 3 9 15
Ryan Alliss 7 18 7
Justin Wittrock 4 23 10
John Baranick 6 14 14
Brandon Fisel 7 11 17
Jason Patton 8 17 16
Elizabeth Suess 11 28 11
GFS MOS 3 28 22
National Weather Service 13 28 14
Nick Carletta 15 43 13