 |
|
|
Des Moines, Day 7/6/5/4
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
T |
P |
|
Overall
|
| Andrew Ansorge |
79.7 |
64.9 |
80.7 |
71.6 |
|
74.21 |
| Jon Hobbs |
79.1 |
72.6 |
80.2 |
74.9 |
|
76.71 |
| National Weather Service |
95.4 |
66.4 |
76.6 |
70.4 |
|
77.20 |
| Consensus MOS |
70.2 |
78.2 |
92.2 |
76.7 |
|
79.33 |
| David Kochevar |
89.6 |
70.3 |
85.7 |
74.1 |
|
79.94 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
83.6 |
80.5 |
76.2 |
83.3 |
|
80.89 |
| Brandon Engelson |
74.8 |
88.9 |
84.8 |
79.2 |
|
81.92 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
65.0 |
75.4 |
112.5 |
78.2 |
|
82.78 |
| Justin Wittrock |
92.7 |
92.5 |
79.8 |
81.4 |
|
86.59 |
| Chris Schaffer |
76.7 |
91.8 |
78.8 |
100.7 |
|
87.01 |
| Jayson Prentice |
96.8 |
91.8 |
80.0 |
100.7 |
|
92.35 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
T |
P |
| Andrew Ansorge |
460 |
236 |
273 |
251 |
| Jon Hobbs |
453 |
283 |
267 |
268 |
| National Weather Service |
648 |
245 |
221 |
245 |
| Consensus MOS |
347 |
317 |
420 |
277 |
| David Kochevar |
579 |
269 |
337 |
264 |
| Average |
464 |
328 |
264 |
294 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
507 |
331 |
215 |
311 |
| Brandon Engelson |
402 |
382 |
325 |
290 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
285 |
300 |
678 |
285 |
| Justin Wittrock |
616 |
404 |
261 |
301 |
| Chris Schaffer |
424 |
400 |
249 |
400 |
| Jayson Prentice |
665 |
400 |
264 |
400 |
|