Presentation Rules Sites Schedule Forecasts Tournament Login

Des Moines, Day 7/6/5/4

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P Overall
Andrew Ansorge 79.7 64.9 80.7 71.6 74.21
Jon Hobbs 79.1 72.6 80.2 74.9 76.71
National Weather Service 95.4 66.4 76.6 70.4 77.20
Consensus MOS 70.2 78.2 92.2 76.7 79.33
David Kochevar 89.6 70.3 85.7 74.1 79.94
Average 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.00
GFS Ensemble MOS 83.6 80.5 76.2 83.3 80.89
Brandon Engelson 74.8 88.9 84.8 79.2 81.92
GFS Extended MOS 65.0 75.4 112.5 78.2 82.78
Justin Wittrock 92.7 92.5 79.8 81.4 86.59
Chris Schaffer 76.7 91.8 78.8 100.7 87.01
Jayson Prentice 96.8 91.8 80.0 100.7 92.35


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P
Andrew Ansorge 460 236 273 251
Jon Hobbs 453 283 267 268
National Weather Service 648 245 221 245
Consensus MOS 347 317 420 277
David Kochevar 579 269 337 264
Average 464 328 264 294
GFS Ensemble MOS 507 331 215 311
Brandon Engelson 402 382 325 290
GFS Extended MOS 285 300 678 285
Justin Wittrock 616 404 261 301
Chris Schaffer 424 400 249 400
Jayson Prentice 665 400 264 400