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Davenport, Day 2

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Sho Kawazoe -0.03 -0.40 0.00 -0.20 0.37 0.00 -0.04
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zachary Mangin 0.44 -1.04 0.00 1.44 0.34 0.00 0.20
National Weather Service -0.31 1.61 0.00 0.54 -0.17 0.00 0.28
Eric Mykleby -0.45 -0.88 0.00 0.27 1.99 2.06 0.50
GFS Ensemble MOS 0.69 0.76 0.00 2.18 -0.24 0.00 0.57
Jon Hobbs -0.25 0.92 2.01 0.37 0.47 0.00 0.59
Mike Kochasic 1.70 -0.72 0.67 2.65 -0.74 0.00 0.59
Cassie Bryan 0.72 1.57 0.00 0.94 0.34 0.00 0.59
NAM MOS -0.23 1.77 2.01 0.27 -0.07 0.00 0.62
Consensus MOS 0.06 1.24 2.01 0.67 -0.03 0.00 0.66
Tom Maaske 3.81 -0.64 -0.67 2.01 -0.17 0.00 0.72
Brandon Fisel 0.16 0.92 0.00 0.57 0.88 2.06 0.77
Ben Moser -0.09 0.92 0.00 1.31 0.47 2.06 0.78
GFS MOS 0.53 1.28 2.01 1.17 -0.07 0.00 0.82
Andrew Ansorge 0.18 0.92 2.01 0.44 0.91 2.06 1.09
GFS Extended MOS 0.00 1.24 2.01 1.21 0.37 2.06 1.15
Ethan Milius -0.29 -1.04 0.00 3.62 3.70 2.06 1.34


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Sho Kawazoe 71 16 1 10 101 1
Average 73 26 1 16 90 1
Zachary Mangin 103 0 1 59 100 1
National Weather Service 52 66 1 32 85 1
Eric Mykleby 42 4 1 24 149 2
GFS Ensemble MOS 120 45 1 81 83 1
Jon Hobbs 56 49 4 27 104 1
Mike Kochasic 189 8 2 95 68 1
Cassie Bryan 122 65 1 44 100 1
NAM MOS 57 70 4 24 88 1
Consensus MOS 77 57 4 36 89 1
Tom Maaske 333 10 0 76 85 1
Brandon Fisel 84 49 1 33 116 2
Ben Moser 67 49 1 55 104 2
GFS MOS 109 58 4 51 88 1
Andrew Ansorge 85 49 4 29 117 2
GFS Extended MOS 73 57 4 52 101 2
Ethan Milius 53 0 1 124 200 2