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Lamoni, Day 2

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Jeff Duda -0.49 -1.29 0.53 0.26 -0.63 0.00 -0.27
Justin Wittrock 0.64 -1.57 -0.36 1.54 -1.45 -0.30 -0.25
Chris Schaffer -0.49 -0.13 0.00 0.75 -0.07 -0.30 -0.04
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Brandon Engelson 1.63 -1.04 0.00 -0.35 0.22 -0.30 0.03
Jon Hobbs 0.00 0.48 0.53 0.07 0.41 0.00 0.25
National Weather Service -0.42 0.96 0.00 0.93 0.45 0.60 0.42
Elizabeth Suess 0.49 0.78 0.00 1.03 0.86 0.00 0.53
GFS MOS 0.00 0.84 0.00 -0.59 0.37 2.68 0.55
Consensus MOS 1.34 0.81 0.18 0.52 0.52 0.89 0.71
GFS Extended MOS 1.48 1.06 0.00 0.16 -0.19 2.38 0.82
Nick Carletta 2.05 1.75 0.71 1.75 1.75 0.60 1.43
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.91 1.27 0.18 1.45 2.75 1.49 1.51
NAM MOS 2.19 0.53 3.73 3.22 0.82 -0.30 1.70


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Jeff Duda 41 11 5 163 22 2
Justin Wittrock 57 0 0 236 0 1
Chris Schaffer 41 57 2 191 37 1
Average 48 62 2 148 39 2
Brandon Engelson 71 21 2 128 45 1
Jon Hobbs 48 81 5 152 50 2
National Weather Service 42 100 2 201 51 4
Elizabeth Suess 55 93 2 207 62 2
GFS MOS 48 95 2 114 49 11
Consensus MOS 67 94 3 178 53 5
GFS Extended MOS 69 104 2 157 34 10
Nick Carletta 77 131 6 248 86 4
GFS Ensemble MOS 75 112 3 231 113 7
NAM MOS 79 83 23 332 61 1