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Sioux City, Day 4/3/2/1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Brandon Engelson -0.48 -0.39 0.00 -1.25 -0.37 -0.97 -0.58
Jayson Prentice -0.25 -0.52 0.00 -1.16 -0.55 -0.97 -0.58
National Weather Service -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.75 0.18 -0.97 -0.37
Jeff Duda -0.65 -0.52 0.00 -0.09 0.37 0.00 -0.15
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Brandon Fisel -0.40 -0.39 0.00 0.11 1.01 0.00 0.05
Jon Hobbs -0.36 1.04 0.00 0.17 0.64 -0.97 0.09
Justin Wittrock -0.12 0.65 0.00 0.38 0.28 0.00 0.20
Nick Carletta 0.48 -0.52 0.00 0.97 -0.37 0.97 0.26
Jason Patton 1.17 0.13 0.00 1.63 -0.09 -0.97 0.31
Ryan Alliss 3.26 -0.52 0.00 0.88 -0.46 -0.97 0.36
GFS Extended MOS -0.10 1.95 0.00 0.35 1.19 0.00 0.57
W Scott Lincoln -0.29 -0.26 0.00 0.75 0.46 2.92 0.60
Elizabeth Suess 0.17 -0.26 0.00 2.86 0.64 0.97 0.73
Consensus MOS 0.58 2.34 0.00 0.25 1.47 0.00 0.77
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.62 0.91 0.00 1.25 1.19 0.00 0.83
John Baranick -0.23 2.21 0.00 0.41 3.58 0.00 1.00


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Brandon Engelson 110 1 0 108 2 0
Jayson Prentice 129 0 0 119 0 0
National Weather Service 94 4 0 167 8 0
Jeff Duda 95 0 0 245 10 1
Average 150 4 0 256 6 1
Brandon Fisel 116 1 0 269 17 1
Jon Hobbs 120 12 0 276 13 0
Justin Wittrock 140 9 0 301 9 1
Nick Carletta 190 0 0 371 2 2
Jason Patton 248 5 0 449 5 0
Ryan Alliss 424 0 0 360 1 0
GFS Extended MOS 142 19 0 298 19 1
W Scott Lincoln 126 2 0 345 11 4
Elizabeth Suess 164 2 0 594 13 2
Consensus MOS 199 22 0 286 22 1
GFS Ensemble MOS 286 11 0 404 19 1
John Baranick 131 21 0 305 45 1