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Lamoni, Day 2

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Jon Hobbs -0.41 -0.08 -1.00 -0.19 -1.30 0.00 -0.50
Brandon Engelson -1.00 -0.42 -1.00 -0.19 1.09 0.00 -0.25
Jacob Hamblin -0.69 -0.51 -1.00 0.16 1.16 0.00 -0.15
Jayson Prentice -0.56 -0.59 -1.00 0.37 1.09 0.00 -0.11
Consensus MOS 0.36 0.68 -1.00 0.05 -0.41 0.00 -0.05
National Weather Service 0.41 -0.17 0.00 -0.56 0.27 0.00 -0.01
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eta/GFS MOS -0.97 0.59 1.00 0.21 -0.75 0.00 0.01
Chris Schaffer 0.23 -0.21 -1.00 -0.03 1.16 0.00 0.03
GFS MOS -0.90 0.72 0.00 2.20 -1.57 0.00 0.07
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.26 -0.13 -1.00 0.54 0.07 0.00 0.12
GFS Extended MOS 0.41 0.68 -1.00 1.55 -0.48 0.00 0.19
Andrew Ansorge -0.03 1.06 0.00 0.08 0.07 0.00 0.20
Eta MOS -0.05 1.22 0.00 -0.59 1.70 0.00 0.38
Ben Schwedler 0.49 -0.17 0.00 2.73 1.09 0.00 0.69
Whitney Sager -0.26 -0.17 2.99 1.42 1.16 0.00 0.86
Justin Wittrock 1.05 3.63 0.00 0.86 1.09 0.00 1.10
NGM MOS 3.18 1.22 0.00 2.20 -1.09 4.24 1.63


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Jon Hobbs 77 12 0 43 65 1
Brandon Engelson 54 4 0 43 100 1
Jacob Hamblin 66 2 0 56 101 1
Jayson Prentice 71 0 0 64 100 1
Consensus MOS 107 30 0 52 78 1
National Weather Service 109 10 1 29 88 1
Average 93 14 1 50 84 1
Eta/GFS MOS 55 28 2 58 73 1
Chris Schaffer 102 9 0 49 101 1
GFS MOS 58 31 1 132 61 1
GFS Ensemble MOS 142 11 0 70 85 1
GFS Extended MOS 109 30 0 108 77 1
Andrew Ansorge 92 39 1 53 85 1
Eta MOS 91 43 1 28 109 1
Ben Schwedler 112 10 1 152 100 1
Whitney Sager 83 10 4 103 101 1
Justin Wittrock 134 100 1 82 100 1
NGM MOS 217 43 1 132 68 4