 |
|
|
Marshalltown, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Brandon Engelson |
-0.06 |
-2.37 |
-3.32 |
0.25 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
-0.91 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
0.18 |
0.54 |
0.00 |
-0.85 |
-0.06 |
0.63 |
0.07 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.66 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
-0.08 |
0.66 |
0.00 |
0.23 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
0.42 |
0.08 |
0.00 |
0.76 |
1.13 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
| Eta MOS |
0.48 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
0.51 |
-1.01 |
2.53 |
0.44 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.66 |
1.69 |
0.00 |
-0.17 |
1.31 |
0.00 |
0.58 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.18 |
-0.23 |
0.00 |
2.55 |
-0.54 |
2.53 |
0.69 |
| GFS MOS |
3.07 |
0.46 |
0.00 |
0.08 |
0.66 |
0.00 |
0.71 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
2.17 |
1.07 |
0.00 |
1.78 |
0.66 |
0.00 |
0.95 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
0.90 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
1.53 |
2.68 |
0.63 |
0.98 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Brandon Engelson |
21 |
37 |
0 |
30 |
109 |
1 |
| Average |
22 |
68 |
1 |
27 |
108 |
1 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
25 |
75 |
1 |
17 |
107 |
2 |
| Consensus MOS |
33 |
70 |
1 |
26 |
119 |
1 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
29 |
69 |
1 |
36 |
127 |
1 |
| Eta MOS |
30 |
70 |
1 |
33 |
91 |
5 |
| Jon Hobbs |
33 |
90 |
1 |
25 |
130 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
19 |
65 |
1 |
57 |
99 |
5 |
| GFS MOS |
73 |
74 |
1 |
28 |
119 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
58 |
82 |
1 |
48 |
119 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
37 |
70 |
1 |
45 |
153 |
2 |
|
