 |
|
|
Marshalltown, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Jayson Prentice |
80.0 |
72.9 |
81.4 |
82.4 |
76.1 |
72.4 |
77.53 |
| Chris Schaffer |
80.5 |
72.9 |
89.7 |
77.6 |
69.8 |
77.5 |
78.01 |
| Justin Wittrock |
87.1 |
72.9 |
91.1 |
80.6 |
63.5 |
82.5 |
79.63 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.00 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
79.0 |
79.7 |
81.4 |
75.3 |
89.8 |
85.1 |
81.70 |
| National Weather Service |
76.4 |
80.0 |
92.5 |
81.8 |
87.1 |
74.9 |
82.12 |
| Jon Hobbs |
74.9 |
84.0 |
88.3 |
83.5 |
87.1 |
85.1 |
83.82 |
| Consensus MOS |
86.6 |
93.9 |
91.1 |
79.4 |
87.1 |
82.5 |
86.76 |
| GFS MOS |
80.5 |
87.7 |
85.6 |
106.4 |
84.3 |
85.1 |
88.26 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
77.5 |
94.5 |
85.6 |
89.4 |
102.4 |
87.6 |
89.47 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
94.2 |
93.5 |
98.1 |
83.5 |
86.3 |
82.5 |
89.70 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
83.0 |
92.9 |
91.1 |
92.3 |
93.3 |
92.6 |
90.90 |
| Eta MOS |
112.5 |
104.3 |
118.9 |
105.9 |
87.1 |
112.9 |
106.92 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Jayson Prentice |
29 |
0 |
6 |
18 |
32 |
1 |
| Chris Schaffer |
30 |
0 |
12 |
10 |
16 |
3 |
| Justin Wittrock |
43 |
0 |
13 |
15 |
0 |
5 |
| Average |
29 |
23 |
5 |
14 |
42 |
4 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
27 |
22 |
6 |
6 |
67 |
6 |
| National Weather Service |
22 |
23 |
14 |
17 |
60 |
2 |
| Jon Hobbs |
19 |
36 |
11 |
20 |
60 |
6 |
| Consensus MOS |
42 |
68 |
13 |
13 |
60 |
5 |
| GFS MOS |
30 |
48 |
9 |
59 |
53 |
6 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
24 |
70 |
9 |
30 |
99 |
7 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
57 |
67 |
18 |
20 |
58 |
5 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
35 |
65 |
13 |
35 |
76 |
9 |
| Eta MOS |
93 |
102 |
33 |
58 |
60 |
17 |
|
