 |
|
|
Iowa City, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Eric Mykleby |
-0.25 |
-0.51 |
0.00 |
-0.13 |
-1.08 |
0.00 |
-0.33 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
-0.25 |
-0.17 |
0.00 |
-0.07 |
-0.90 |
0.00 |
-0.23 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.19 |
-0.17 |
0.00 |
-0.19 |
-0.18 |
0.00 |
-0.06 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.00 |
0.51 |
0.00 |
0.28 |
0.90 |
0.00 |
0.28 |
| GFS MOS |
-0.63 |
0.51 |
0.00 |
1.47 |
0.90 |
0.00 |
0.38 |
| National Weather Service |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.28 |
0.18 |
3.16 |
0.51 |
| NAM MOS |
2.26 |
0.17 |
0.00 |
1.18 |
-0.36 |
0.00 |
0.54 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.07 |
0.51 |
0.00 |
2.10 |
-0.18 |
0.00 |
0.75 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.25 |
3.07 |
0.00 |
2.28 |
2.34 |
0.00 |
1.24 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Eric Mykleby |
10 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
10 |
2 |
0 |
27 |
1 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
17 |
2 |
0 |
16 |
5 |
0 |
| Average |
14 |
3 |
0 |
34 |
6 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
14 |
6 |
0 |
61 |
11 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
4 |
6 |
0 |
174 |
11 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
14 |
3 |
0 |
7 |
7 |
1 |
| NAM MOS |
50 |
4 |
0 |
146 |
4 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
47 |
6 |
0 |
234 |
5 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
10 |
21 |
0 |
251 |
19 |
0 |
|
