 |
|
|
Iowa City, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Justin Hayward |
-0.21 |
-1.29 |
-2.07 |
0.67 |
-0.88 |
-0.91 |
-0.78 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.21 |
0.63 |
-2.07 |
-0.72 |
-0.75 |
-1.22 |
-0.72 |
| NAM MOS |
-1.03 |
-1.77 |
-2.07 |
-1.03 |
1.56 |
1.52 |
-0.47 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.51 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.46 |
-0.75 |
0.00 |
-0.29 |
| Nick Carletta |
-0.51 |
1.25 |
0.00 |
-0.67 |
-1.56 |
0.00 |
-0.25 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.12 |
1.25 |
0.00 |
1.65 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.46 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.00 |
0.55 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.88 |
1.52 |
0.50 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.66 |
0.55 |
0.00 |
0.31 |
0.88 |
0.91 |
0.89 |
| GFS MOS |
0.48 |
0.63 |
0.00 |
1.95 |
0.82 |
1.52 |
0.90 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Justin Hayward |
55 |
80 |
1 |
67 |
61 |
2 |
| National Weather Service |
55 |
132 |
1 |
40 |
63 |
1 |
| NAM MOS |
28 |
67 |
1 |
34 |
97 |
10 |
| Jon Hobbs |
45 |
115 |
2 |
45 |
63 |
5 |
| Nick Carletta |
45 |
149 |
2 |
41 |
51 |
5 |
| Average |
62 |
115 |
2 |
54 |
74 |
5 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
58 |
149 |
2 |
86 |
74 |
5 |
| Consensus MOS |
62 |
130 |
2 |
55 |
87 |
10 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
150 |
130 |
2 |
60 |
87 |
8 |
| GFS MOS |
78 |
132 |
2 |
92 |
86 |
10 |
|
