Presentation Rules Sites Schedule Forecasts Tournament Login

Dubuque, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

03-18Z
Forecaster W C V Overall
Chris Schaffer 65.3 75.2 68.4 69.62
Jayson Prentice 65.3 65.2 78.9 69.82
Jon Hobbs 65.3 67.6 84.2 72.39
Average 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.00
Andrew Ansorge 80.0 80.0 81.1 80.35
National Weather Service 80.0 67.9 98.0 81.96
Eta/GFS MOS 76.3 91.5 84.2 84.03
Consensus MOS 91.0 88.8 80.0 86.59
Eta MOS 91.0 88.8 81.1 86.94
NGM MOS 91.0 86.1 89.5 88.86
GFS MOS 80.0 91.5 105.4 92.30


Raw Squared Error

03-18Z
Forecaster W C V
Chris Schaffer 2 94 10
Jayson Prentice 2 61 20
Jon Hobbs 2 69 25
Average 6 110 21
Andrew Ansorge 6 110 22
National Weather Service 6 70 38
Eta/GFS MOS 5 148 25
Consensus MOS 9 139 21
Eta MOS 9 139 22
NGM MOS 9 130 30
GFS MOS 6 148 45