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Mason City, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Andrew Ansorge 0.00 -0.61 -0.13 -0.16 -0.69 -0.45 -0.34
NAM MOS 2.43 -1.00 -0.26 -0.13 -0.79 -0.45 -0.04
Eric Mykleby -0.47 1.97 0.26 -0.39 -0.94 -0.45 -0.00
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Hobbs 0.60 0.25 0.40 -0.29 0.00 -0.45 0.08
National Weather Service -0.13 0.29 0.79 -0.38 0.69 0.68 0.32
Consensus MOS 0.72 0.29 0.53 0.59 0.49 0.68 0.55
GFS Extended MOS 0.04 0.11 0.00 1.30 1.48 0.45 0.56
GFS MOS -0.60 1.65 1.06 1.01 1.43 1.58 1.02
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.92 1.72 3.17 2.70 1.82 2.49 2.30


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Andrew Ansorge 21 29 1 46 6 0
NAM MOS 78 18 0 50 4 0
Eric Mykleby 10 101 4 11 1 0
Average 21 46 2 70 20 2
Jon Hobbs 35 53 5 26 20 0
National Weather Service 18 54 8 13 34 5
Consensus MOS 38 54 6 158 30 5
GFS Extended MOS 22 49 2 264 50 4
GFS MOS 7 92 10 221 49 9
GFS Ensemble MOS 66 94 26 474 57 13