 |
|
|
Lamoni, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Jon Hobbs |
-1.13 |
0.46 |
-0.33 |
-0.95 |
-0.89 |
0.00 |
-0.47 |
| National Weather Service |
0.15 |
-0.73 |
1.63 |
-0.38 |
-0.89 |
-2.38 |
-0.43 |
| Consensus MOS |
1.05 |
0.64 |
-0.98 |
-1.34 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.10 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.20 |
1.10 |
-0.98 |
-1.91 |
-0.07 |
0.40 |
-0.04 |
| Justin Hayward |
1.73 |
-0.83 |
0.00 |
0.95 |
-0.07 |
-1.98 |
-0.03 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| GFS MOS |
0.98 |
1.93 |
0.00 |
0.19 |
-0.20 |
0.00 |
0.48 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.18 |
1.84 |
-1.30 |
0.38 |
-0.07 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
| NAM MOS |
1.28 |
0.00 |
1.30 |
0.95 |
2.53 |
0.00 |
1.01 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Jon Hobbs |
21 |
35 |
4 |
15 |
42 |
9 |
| National Weather Service |
38 |
22 |
10 |
18 |
42 |
3 |
| Consensus MOS |
50 |
37 |
2 |
13 |
55 |
9 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
52 |
42 |
2 |
10 |
54 |
10 |
| Justin Hayward |
59 |
21 |
5 |
25 |
54 |
4 |
| Average |
36 |
30 |
5 |
20 |
55 |
9 |
| GFS MOS |
49 |
51 |
5 |
21 |
52 |
9 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
65 |
50 |
1 |
22 |
54 |
9 |
| NAM MOS |
53 |
30 |
9 |
25 |
92 |
9 |
|
