 |
|
|
Cedar Rapids, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| National Weather Service |
0.64 |
-1.94 |
-3.74 |
1.03 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
-0.66 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
0.52 |
-0.97 |
0.00 |
-0.07 |
-0.78 |
-2.35 |
-0.61 |
| Brandon Engelson |
-0.23 |
1.46 |
0.00 |
0.96 |
-1.68 |
-2.35 |
-0.31 |
| Jeff Duda |
-0.06 |
1.18 |
0.00 |
0.59 |
-0.97 |
-2.35 |
-0.27 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.52 |
-1.18 |
0.00 |
-0.07 |
0.97 |
0.00 |
-0.13 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.29 |
-0.76 |
0.00 |
0.96 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.02 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Eta MOS |
0.12 |
0.28 |
0.00 |
-1.25 |
0.97 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
-0.46 |
0.42 |
0.00 |
-0.44 |
0.91 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
| Chris Schaffer |
-0.06 |
0.14 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
0.91 |
0.00 |
0.19 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.00 |
0.42 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.97 |
0.00 |
0.23 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.09 |
0.28 |
0.00 |
-0.29 |
1.16 |
0.00 |
0.54 |
| GFS MOS |
-1.10 |
0.55 |
0.00 |
2.87 |
2.01 |
0.00 |
0.72 |
| NGM MOS |
2.61 |
1.46 |
0.00 |
1.47 |
0.97 |
0.00 |
1.08 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| National Weather Service |
37 |
55 |
0 |
45 |
52 |
1 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
35 |
69 |
1 |
30 |
39 |
0 |
| Brandon Engelson |
22 |
104 |
1 |
44 |
25 |
0 |
| Jeff Duda |
25 |
100 |
1 |
39 |
36 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
17 |
66 |
1 |
30 |
66 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
21 |
72 |
1 |
44 |
51 |
1 |
| Average |
26 |
83 |
1 |
31 |
51 |
1 |
| Eta MOS |
28 |
87 |
1 |
14 |
66 |
1 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
18 |
89 |
1 |
25 |
65 |
1 |
| Chris Schaffer |
25 |
85 |
1 |
33 |
65 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
26 |
89 |
1 |
31 |
66 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
62 |
87 |
1 |
27 |
69 |
1 |
| GFS MOS |
7 |
91 |
1 |
70 |
82 |
1 |
| NGM MOS |
71 |
104 |
1 |
51 |
66 |
1 |
|
