 |
|
|
Burlington, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Eta MOS |
83.2 |
68.1 |
64.9 |
71.3 |
76.9 |
80.0 |
74.06 |
| Jon Hobbs |
82.7 |
71.7 |
80.0 |
76.3 |
82.1 |
80.0 |
78.79 |
| Justin Wittrock |
75.9 |
91.9 |
93.2 |
93.2 |
50.2 |
69.6 |
79.01 |
| NGM MOS |
80.0 |
85.9 |
64.9 |
68.1 |
95.9 |
80.0 |
79.15 |
| Consensus MOS |
83.6 |
81.2 |
70.6 |
75.3 |
88.7 |
80.0 |
79.89 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
84.1 |
68.7 |
57.3 |
101.6 |
88.2 |
80.0 |
79.99 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.00 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
77.7 |
90.7 |
70.6 |
72.1 |
80.5 |
90.4 |
80.34 |
| Jayson Prentice |
75.9 |
91.9 |
70.6 |
85.8 |
83.6 |
80.0 |
81.30 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
92.2 |
72.3 |
80.0 |
76.3 |
80.0 |
90.4 |
81.86 |
| Chris Schaffer |
81.4 |
83.0 |
80.0 |
89.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
82.22 |
| Brandon Engelson |
90.8 |
101.4 |
80.0 |
81.6 |
80.0 |
69.6 |
83.90 |
| National Weather Service |
77.7 |
91.9 |
80.0 |
89.2 |
81.0 |
111.2 |
88.52 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
107.0 |
91.3 |
70.6 |
83.4 |
89.2 |
90.4 |
88.66 |
| GFS MOS |
107.0 |
86.5 |
93.2 |
98.2 |
86.2 |
80.0 |
91.86 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Eta MOS |
34 |
60 |
17 |
87 |
52 |
1 |
| Jon Hobbs |
33 |
66 |
25 |
106 |
62 |
1 |
| Justin Wittrock |
18 |
100 |
32 |
170 |
0 |
0 |
| NGM MOS |
27 |
90 |
17 |
75 |
89 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
35 |
82 |
20 |
102 |
75 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
36 |
61 |
13 |
202 |
74 |
1 |
| Average |
27 |
80 |
25 |
120 |
58 |
1 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
22 |
98 |
20 |
90 |
59 |
2 |
| Jayson Prentice |
18 |
100 |
20 |
142 |
65 |
1 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
54 |
67 |
25 |
106 |
58 |
2 |
| Chris Schaffer |
30 |
85 |
25 |
154 |
58 |
1 |
| Brandon Engelson |
51 |
116 |
25 |
126 |
58 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
22 |
100 |
25 |
155 |
60 |
4 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
87 |
99 |
20 |
133 |
76 |
2 |
| GFS MOS |
87 |
91 |
32 |
189 |
70 |
1 |
|
