 |
|
|
Estherville, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| NAM MOS |
-0.79 |
-0.38 |
-0.24 |
0.42 |
1.00 |
-0.24 |
-0.04 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Sho Kawazoe |
1.94 |
-0.53 |
-0.24 |
0.24 |
-0.82 |
-0.24 |
0.06 |
| National Weather Service |
0.93 |
-0.87 |
0.49 |
0.63 |
-1.09 |
0.72 |
0.13 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.93 |
-0.72 |
-0.36 |
0.17 |
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.17 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.23 |
0.72 |
0.49 |
0.44 |
0.27 |
0.00 |
0.28 |
| GFS MOS |
2.27 |
1.14 |
0.12 |
1.23 |
-2.00 |
-0.24 |
0.42 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
0.14 |
1.56 |
0.24 |
0.97 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
0.56 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
0.83 |
1.67 |
2.91 |
3.28 |
0.09 |
2.87 |
1.94 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| NAM MOS |
27 |
40 |
1 |
91 |
115 |
5 |
| Average |
44 |
50 |
3 |
46 |
104 |
6 |
| Sho Kawazoe |
86 |
36 |
1 |
72 |
95 |
5 |
| National Weather Service |
64 |
27 |
7 |
114 |
92 |
9 |
| Jon Hobbs |
64 |
31 |
0 |
64 |
115 |
6 |
| Consensus MOS |
39 |
69 |
7 |
93 |
107 |
6 |
| GFS MOS |
93 |
80 |
4 |
178 |
82 |
5 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
47 |
91 |
5 |
151 |
109 |
6 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
62 |
94 |
27 |
399 |
105 |
18 |
|
