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Waterloo, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

03-18Z
Forecaster W C V Overall
Jon Hobbs 0.00 -1.11 -0.56 -0.56
National Weather Service 0.40 -0.78 -0.62 -0.33
Jeff Duda 0.00 -0.37 -0.25 -0.21
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
GFS MOS 0.40 1.08 0.37 0.62
Chris Schaffer 0.40 0.37 1.19 0.65
Consensus MOS 1.60 0.48 0.50 0.86
Eta/GFS MOS 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.33
NGM MOS 2.80 1.63 0.50 1.65
Eta MOS 1.60 1.89 2.75 2.08


Raw Squared Error

03-18Z
Forecaster W C V
Jon Hobbs 7 21 14
National Weather Service 8 30 13
Jeff Duda 7 41 19
Average 7 51 23
GFS MOS 8 80 29
Chris Schaffer 8 61 42
Consensus MOS 11 64 31
Eta/GFS MOS 12 78 39
NGM MOS 14 95 31
Eta MOS 11 102 67