 |
|
|
Ottumwa, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
87.3 |
81.5 |
66.8 |
80.0 |
81.2 |
80.0 |
79.46 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
83.5 |
88.7 |
80.0 |
77.5 |
79.5 |
77.3 |
81.09 |
| GFS MOS |
90.8 |
86.8 |
66.8 |
97.8 |
80.5 |
80.0 |
83.77 |
| Jon Hobbs |
83.8 |
76.1 |
80.0 |
87.0 |
86.0 |
90.7 |
83.95 |
| Chris Schaffer |
81.0 |
90.2 |
96.1 |
84.1 |
78.1 |
80.0 |
84.91 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
80.6 |
93.5 |
80.0 |
97.4 |
79.0 |
80.0 |
85.09 |
| National Weather Service |
79.7 |
82.4 |
82.9 |
82.1 |
84.8 |
109.5 |
86.90 |
| Justin Wittrock |
86.4 |
62.1 |
80.0 |
93.6 |
115.2 |
90.7 |
88.00 |
| NGM MOS |
111.8 |
88.7 |
80.0 |
90.3 |
81.0 |
82.7 |
89.07 |
| Eta MOS |
98.1 |
81.5 |
66.8 |
112.6 |
84.3 |
101.5 |
90.79 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
100.3 |
102.7 |
97.6 |
87.4 |
83.1 |
85.4 |
92.76 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
75 |
40 |
16 |
25 |
58 |
2 |
| Average |
52 |
37 |
25 |
25 |
53 |
2 |
| Consensus MOS |
63 |
55 |
25 |
19 |
51 |
1 |
| GFS MOS |
86 |
51 |
16 |
68 |
55 |
2 |
| Jon Hobbs |
64 |
29 |
25 |
42 |
78 |
6 |
| Chris Schaffer |
55 |
58 |
36 |
35 |
45 |
2 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
54 |
65 |
25 |
67 |
49 |
2 |
| National Weather Service |
51 |
42 |
27 |
30 |
73 |
13 |
| Justin Wittrock |
72 |
0 |
25 |
58 |
200 |
6 |
| NGM MOS |
152 |
55 |
25 |
50 |
57 |
3 |
| Eta MOS |
109 |
40 |
16 |
104 |
71 |
10 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
116 |
84 |
37 |
43 |
66 |
4 |
|
