 |
|
|
Spencer, Day 1
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
|
Overall
|
| Brandon Engelson |
87.1 |
69.7 |
65.2 |
81.2 |
72.0 |
75.4 |
|
75.12 |
| Jayson Prentice |
82.7 |
65.0 |
65.2 |
76.7 |
69.4 |
93.7 |
|
75.45 |
| Jon Hobbs |
76.4 |
76.0 |
65.2 |
78.0 |
82.7 |
80.0 |
|
76.37 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
70.7 |
92.8 |
80.0 |
85.3 |
85.8 |
75.4 |
|
81.67 |
| David Kochevar |
99.8 |
73.8 |
72.6 |
74.0 |
93.3 |
80.0 |
|
82.24 |
| Justin Wittrock |
102.8 |
71.2 |
72.6 |
81.8 |
71.5 |
93.7 |
|
82.26 |
| Chris Schaffer |
80.9 |
84.4 |
80.0 |
93.6 |
77.9 |
80.0 |
|
82.80 |
| Consensus MOS |
84.3 |
84.4 |
80.0 |
85.3 |
87.4 |
75.4 |
|
82.81 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
80.2 |
94.3 |
80.0 |
73.6 |
98.0 |
80.0 |
|
84.37 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
95.9 |
76.0 |
65.2 |
113.1 |
85.3 |
75.4 |
|
85.16 |
| Eta MOS |
94.6 |
82.2 |
72.6 |
72.7 |
105.5 |
84.6 |
|
85.35 |
| National Weather Service |
72.9 |
79.3 |
94.8 |
79.3 |
78.9 |
111.9 |
|
86.20 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
92.5 |
89.9 |
87.4 |
83.3 |
82.7 |
84.6 |
|
86.72 |
| GFS MOS |
75.2 |
100.9 |
94.8 |
85.0 |
90.6 |
75.4 |
|
87.00 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Brandon Engelson |
229 |
14 |
0 |
236 |
10 |
0 |
| Jayson Prentice |
210 |
1 |
0 |
195 |
5 |
4 |
| Jon Hobbs |
182 |
31 |
0 |
207 |
30 |
1 |
| Average |
198 |
42 |
2 |
225 |
25 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
157 |
77 |
2 |
273 |
36 |
0 |
| David Kochevar |
285 |
25 |
1 |
170 |
50 |
1 |
| Justin Wittrock |
298 |
18 |
1 |
241 |
9 |
4 |
| Chris Schaffer |
202 |
54 |
2 |
349 |
21 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
217 |
54 |
2 |
273 |
39 |
0 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
199 |
81 |
2 |
167 |
59 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
268 |
31 |
0 |
527 |
35 |
0 |
| Eta MOS |
262 |
48 |
1 |
158 |
73 |
2 |
| National Weather Service |
167 |
40 |
4 |
219 |
23 |
8 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
253 |
69 |
3 |
255 |
30 |
2 |
| GFS MOS |
177 |
99 |
4 |
271 |
45 |
0 |
|
