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Spencer, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Andrew Ansorge -1.03 -1.00 1.49 0.08 -0.15 0.00 -0.10
Ben Moser -0.28 0.13 0.00 0.45 -0.45 0.00 -0.03
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Consensus MOS 0.65 -0.08 0.00 -0.06 0.04 0.00 0.09
Tom Maaske -0.22 0.75 0.00 0.21 -0.19 0.00 0.09
GFS Extended MOS 0.95 -0.32 0.00 0.37 -0.30 0.00 0.12
Jon Hobbs -0.71 -0.40 1.49 -0.05 0.41 0.00 0.12
Sho Kawazoe -0.95 -0.03 1.49 -0.16 0.53 0.00 0.15
Brandon Fisel 0.53 0.38 0.00 -0.02 0.49 0.00 0.23
GFS MOS 1.12 -0.16 0.00 0.51 0.30 0.00 0.29
National Weather Service -0.51 -0.03 -1.49 0.20 0.34 3.42 0.32
Greg Matson 0.28 -0.11 1.49 -0.10 0.49 0.00 0.34
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.64 1.00 1.49 -0.15 -0.45 0.00 0.59
Mike Kochasic 1.28 0.92 0.00 1.05 0.49 0.00 0.62
Cassie Bryan 2.84 0.32 -1.49 4.17 -0.83 -1.14 0.64
Zachary Mangin 0.67 2.64 1.49 -0.12 0.49 0.00 0.86
NAM MOS 0.30 -0.94 0.00 -0.17 3.96 2.28 0.90
Ethan Milius 1.30 2.64 1.49 0.31 0.49 0.00 1.04


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Andrew Ansorge 61 65 2 75 83 1
Ben Moser 98 107 1 107 75 1
Average 112 102 1 68 87 1
Consensus MOS 144 99 1 63 88 1
Tom Maaske 101 130 1 86 82 1
GFS Extended MOS 159 90 1 100 79 1
Jon Hobbs 77 87 2 64 98 1
Sho Kawazoe 65 101 2 54 101 1
Brandon Fisel 138 116 1 66 100 1
GFS MOS 167 96 1 112 95 1
National Weather Service 87 101 0 85 96 4
Greg Matson 126 98 2 59 100 1
GFS Ensemble MOS 193 139 2 55 75 1
Mike Kochasic 175 136 1 159 100 1
Cassie Bryan 252 114 0 429 65 0
Zachary Mangin 145 200 2 58 100 1
NAM MOS 127 67 1 53 192 3
Ethan Milius 176 200 2 95 100 1