 |
|
|
Spencer, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Andrew Ansorge |
-1.03 |
-1.00 |
1.49 |
0.08 |
-0.15 |
0.00 |
-0.10 |
| Ben Moser |
-0.28 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
0.45 |
-0.45 |
0.00 |
-0.03 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.65 |
-0.08 |
0.00 |
-0.06 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
| Tom Maaske |
-0.22 |
0.75 |
0.00 |
0.21 |
-0.19 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
0.95 |
-0.32 |
0.00 |
0.37 |
-0.30 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.71 |
-0.40 |
1.49 |
-0.05 |
0.41 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
| Sho Kawazoe |
-0.95 |
-0.03 |
1.49 |
-0.16 |
0.53 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
| Brandon Fisel |
0.53 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
-0.02 |
0.49 |
0.00 |
0.23 |
| GFS MOS |
1.12 |
-0.16 |
0.00 |
0.51 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.29 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.51 |
-0.03 |
-1.49 |
0.20 |
0.34 |
3.42 |
0.32 |
| Greg Matson |
0.28 |
-0.11 |
1.49 |
-0.10 |
0.49 |
0.00 |
0.34 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.64 |
1.00 |
1.49 |
-0.15 |
-0.45 |
0.00 |
0.59 |
| Mike Kochasic |
1.28 |
0.92 |
0.00 |
1.05 |
0.49 |
0.00 |
0.62 |
| Cassie Bryan |
2.84 |
0.32 |
-1.49 |
4.17 |
-0.83 |
-1.14 |
0.64 |
| Zachary Mangin |
0.67 |
2.64 |
1.49 |
-0.12 |
0.49 |
0.00 |
0.86 |
| NAM MOS |
0.30 |
-0.94 |
0.00 |
-0.17 |
3.96 |
2.28 |
0.90 |
| Ethan Milius |
1.30 |
2.64 |
1.49 |
0.31 |
0.49 |
0.00 |
1.04 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Andrew Ansorge |
61 |
65 |
2 |
75 |
83 |
1 |
| Ben Moser |
98 |
107 |
1 |
107 |
75 |
1 |
| Average |
112 |
102 |
1 |
68 |
87 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
144 |
99 |
1 |
63 |
88 |
1 |
| Tom Maaske |
101 |
130 |
1 |
86 |
82 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
159 |
90 |
1 |
100 |
79 |
1 |
| Jon Hobbs |
77 |
87 |
2 |
64 |
98 |
1 |
| Sho Kawazoe |
65 |
101 |
2 |
54 |
101 |
1 |
| Brandon Fisel |
138 |
116 |
1 |
66 |
100 |
1 |
| GFS MOS |
167 |
96 |
1 |
112 |
95 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
87 |
101 |
0 |
85 |
96 |
4 |
| Greg Matson |
126 |
98 |
2 |
59 |
100 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
193 |
139 |
2 |
55 |
75 |
1 |
| Mike Kochasic |
175 |
136 |
1 |
159 |
100 |
1 |
| Cassie Bryan |
252 |
114 |
0 |
429 |
65 |
0 |
| Zachary Mangin |
145 |
200 |
2 |
58 |
100 |
1 |
| NAM MOS |
127 |
67 |
1 |
53 |
192 |
3 |
| Ethan Milius |
176 |
200 |
2 |
95 |
100 |
1 |
|