 |
|
|
Dubuque, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Jeff Duda |
0.16 |
-0.88 |
-1.60 |
-0.18 |
-0.97 |
0.00 |
-0.58 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Nick Carletta |
1.34 |
-0.13 |
0.23 |
0.13 |
-1.07 |
-0.39 |
0.02 |
| Chris Schaffer |
1.81 |
0.62 |
0.00 |
-0.58 |
-1.12 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.31 |
0.57 |
0.23 |
0.31 |
-0.53 |
1.16 |
0.34 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.71 |
1.01 |
0.00 |
-0.18 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
| Chris MacIntosh |
1.02 |
0.31 |
-1.15 |
2.15 |
0.19 |
0.00 |
0.42 |
| NAM MOS |
-0.47 |
0.97 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
0.97 |
1.16 |
0.46 |
| National Weather Service |
0.39 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
-0.49 |
-0.58 |
3.49 |
0.48 |
| GFS MOS |
1.26 |
1.37 |
0.23 |
-0.22 |
0.15 |
0.39 |
0.53 |
| Justin Wittrock |
1.49 |
-1.94 |
0.23 |
0.49 |
2.38 |
1.55 |
0.70 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
0.24 |
1.54 |
0.46 |
2.20 |
1.26 |
0.78 |
1.08 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.41 |
1.81 |
0.23 |
1.88 |
0.78 |
1.16 |
1.21 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
3.53 |
1.01 |
2.98 |
1.66 |
0.73 |
0.00 |
1.65 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Jeff Duda |
28 |
25 |
9 |
32 |
32 |
2 |
| Average |
26 |
45 |
16 |
36 |
52 |
2 |
| Nick Carletta |
43 |
42 |
17 |
39 |
30 |
1 |
| Chris Schaffer |
49 |
59 |
16 |
23 |
29 |
2 |
| Jon Hobbs |
30 |
58 |
17 |
43 |
41 |
5 |
| Consensus MOS |
35 |
68 |
16 |
32 |
60 |
3 |
| Chris MacIntosh |
39 |
52 |
11 |
84 |
56 |
2 |
| NAM MOS |
20 |
67 |
16 |
39 |
72 |
5 |
| National Weather Service |
31 |
47 |
16 |
25 |
40 |
11 |
| GFS MOS |
42 |
76 |
17 |
31 |
55 |
3 |
| Justin Wittrock |
45 |
1 |
17 |
47 |
101 |
6 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
29 |
80 |
18 |
85 |
78 |
4 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
44 |
86 |
17 |
78 |
68 |
5 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
71 |
68 |
29 |
73 |
67 |
2 |
|
