 |
|
|
Ottumwa, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Brandon Engelson |
1.16 |
-0.77 |
-1.67 |
-0.19 |
-0.06 |
0.00 |
-0.25 |
| Nick Carletta |
0.17 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.95 |
-0.93 |
-1.24 |
-0.17 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.24 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
-0.87 |
0.00 |
-0.12 |
| National Weather Service |
0.73 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
0.49 |
-0.81 |
-1.24 |
-0.12 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.10 |
0.64 |
-1.67 |
0.04 |
0.98 |
0.00 |
-0.02 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
-0.05 |
0.83 |
-1.67 |
0.11 |
0.98 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
| Jayson Prentice |
0.22 |
0.58 |
-1.67 |
0.38 |
0.93 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
| Eta MOS |
0.12 |
1.60 |
-1.67 |
0.27 |
0.98 |
0.00 |
0.22 |
| Jason Patton |
1.33 |
-1.03 |
0.00 |
1.33 |
-0.06 |
0.00 |
0.26 |
| Jeff Duda |
2.20 |
-1.03 |
0.00 |
0.57 |
-0.06 |
0.00 |
0.28 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.55 |
0.58 |
-1.67 |
0.27 |
0.98 |
0.00 |
0.28 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
0.34 |
1.54 |
-1.67 |
0.57 |
1.10 |
0.00 |
0.31 |
| GFS MOS |
1.50 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
0.98 |
0.00 |
0.45 |
| Ryan Alliss |
0.92 |
0.58 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
1.16 |
0.00 |
0.46 |
| Brandon Fisel |
0.17 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.61 |
1.45 |
1.24 |
0.58 |
| NGM MOS |
2.11 |
1.28 |
-1.67 |
0.84 |
1.21 |
0.00 |
0.63 |
| W Scott Lincoln |
0.22 |
3.08 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
0.93 |
0.00 |
0.75 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
3.53 |
1.41 |
1.67 |
4.45 |
-2.31 |
3.71 |
2.08 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Brandon Engelson |
106 |
4 |
0 |
9 |
64 |
1 |
| Nick Carletta |
65 |
16 |
1 |
39 |
49 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
48 |
17 |
1 |
22 |
50 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
88 |
18 |
1 |
27 |
51 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
54 |
26 |
0 |
15 |
82 |
1 |
| Average |
58 |
16 |
1 |
14 |
65 |
1 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
56 |
29 |
0 |
17 |
82 |
1 |
| Jayson Prentice |
67 |
25 |
0 |
24 |
81 |
1 |
| Eta MOS |
63 |
41 |
0 |
21 |
82 |
1 |
| Jason Patton |
113 |
0 |
1 |
49 |
64 |
1 |
| Jeff Duda |
149 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
64 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
122 |
25 |
0 |
21 |
82 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
72 |
40 |
0 |
29 |
84 |
1 |
| GFS MOS |
120 |
18 |
1 |
17 |
82 |
1 |
| Ryan Alliss |
96 |
25 |
1 |
17 |
85 |
1 |
| Brandon Fisel |
65 |
16 |
1 |
30 |
90 |
2 |
| NGM MOS |
145 |
36 |
0 |
36 |
86 |
1 |
| W Scott Lincoln |
67 |
64 |
1 |
22 |
81 |
1 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
204 |
38 |
2 |
131 |
25 |
4 |
|
