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Iowa City, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Justin Wittrock 0.81 -0.92 0.00 -0.06 -0.60 0.00 -0.13
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jacob Hamblin -0.78 -0.25 0.23 0.32 0.48 0.19 0.03
Jayson Prentice -0.10 0.92 0.46 0.13 -0.60 0.00 0.13
Consensus MOS 0.61 0.31 0.00 0.35 -0.18 0.00 0.18
Andrew Ansorge 1.20 -0.61 0.23 0.80 -0.48 0.00 0.19
Jon Hobbs 1.20 -0.05 0.00 0.13 0.66 0.00 0.32
Brandon Engelson 0.78 -0.87 0.23 -0.06 1.79 0.19 0.34
GFS MOS 1.65 -0.05 0.00 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.40
National Weather Service 0.97 0.71 0.46 -0.38 0.48 0.19 0.41
GFS Extended MOS 0.65 0.61 0.23 1.18 0.06 0.00 0.45
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.16 1.07 0.23 0.73 -0.18 0.00 0.50
Eta/GFS MOS 2.23 0.00 0.23 0.92 -0.06 0.00 0.55
Ben Schwedler 1.71 0.66 0.23 0.32 0.60 0.38 0.65
Eta MOS 3.23 -0.10 0.23 2.89 -0.12 0.00 1.02
Whitney Sager -0.36 3.31 4.14 3.15 3.35 4.04 2.94


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Justin Wittrock 110 0 0 26 0 0
Average 85 18 0 28 10 0
Jacob Hamblin 61 13 1 38 18 1
Jayson Prentice 82 36 2 32 0 0
Consensus MOS 104 24 0 39 7 0
Andrew Ansorge 122 6 1 53 2 0
Jon Hobbs 122 17 0 32 21 0
Brandon Engelson 109 1 1 26 40 1
GFS MOS 136 17 0 53 10 0
National Weather Service 115 32 2 16 18 1
GFS Extended MOS 105 30 1 65 11 0
GFS Ensemble MOS 121 39 1 51 7 0
Eta/GFS MOS 154 18 1 57 9 0
Ben Schwedler 138 31 1 38 20 2
Eta MOS 185 16 1 119 8 0
Whitney Sager 74 83 18 127 66 21