 |
|
|
Ottumwa, Day 2.5
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| GFS MOS |
0.24 |
0.91 |
-0.53 |
1.63 |
-1.30 |
-0.50 |
0.08 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.48 |
0.64 |
0.00 |
0.33 |
0.07 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
| National Weather Service |
1.52 |
0.86 |
-0.53 |
-0.69 |
0.79 |
0.00 |
0.33 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.00 |
1.45 |
0.00 |
-0.25 |
0.94 |
1.51 |
0.61 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
0.64 |
1.02 |
0.00 |
1.38 |
0.22 |
1.51 |
0.79 |
| Jeff Duda |
1.12 |
-1.34 |
2.13 |
1.89 |
0.36 |
2.01 |
1.03 |
| NAM MOS |
2.49 |
-0.05 |
1.95 |
-0.80 |
2.17 |
1.51 |
1.21 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.93 |
2.15 |
0.89 |
0.11 |
1.59 |
2.01 |
1.45 |
Raw Squared Error
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Average |
20 |
92 |
5 |
70 |
123 |
17 |
| GFS MOS |
23 |
109 |
2 |
115 |
105 |
16 |
| Consensus MOS |
14 |
104 |
5 |
79 |
124 |
17 |
| National Weather Service |
39 |
108 |
2 |
51 |
134 |
17 |
| Jon Hobbs |
20 |
119 |
5 |
63 |
136 |
20 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
28 |
111 |
5 |
108 |
126 |
20 |
| Jeff Duda |
34 |
67 |
17 |
122 |
128 |
21 |
| NAM MOS |
51 |
91 |
16 |
48 |
153 |
20 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
44 |
132 |
10 |
73 |
145 |
21 |
|
