 |
|
|
Davenport, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Jon Hobbs |
81.6 |
74.7 |
67.6 |
73.6 |
77.6 |
80.0 |
75.84 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.00 |
| Justin Wittrock |
107.3 |
91.2 |
76.4 |
80.5 |
59.8 |
76.3 |
81.92 |
| Chris Schaffer |
92.6 |
70.2 |
96.0 |
75.2 |
86.1 |
81.2 |
83.55 |
| Eta MOS |
88.4 |
79.4 |
67.6 |
80.5 |
95.2 |
93.7 |
84.13 |
| National Weather Service |
96.8 |
79.4 |
85.3 |
77.1 |
83.7 |
82.5 |
84.14 |
| Consensus MOS |
77.9 |
91.2 |
78.2 |
84.3 |
91.5 |
94.9 |
86.34 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
80.5 |
89.2 |
80.0 |
87.1 |
91.5 |
96.1 |
87.41 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
97.3 |
94.8 |
94.2 |
73.1 |
89.8 |
87.5 |
89.46 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
77.4 |
93.7 |
94.2 |
101.0 |
86.5 |
104.8 |
92.94 |
| GFS MOS |
79.5 |
103.2 |
87.1 |
101.9 |
93.3 |
103.6 |
94.75 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Jon Hobbs |
33 |
41 |
10 |
110 |
82 |
6 |
| Average |
30 |
60 |
17 |
147 |
93 |
6 |
| Justin Wittrock |
82 |
100 |
15 |
150 |
0 |
3 |
| Chris Schaffer |
54 |
25 |
26 |
119 |
121 |
7 |
| Eta MOS |
46 |
58 |
10 |
150 |
163 |
17 |
| National Weather Service |
62 |
58 |
20 |
130 |
110 |
8 |
| Consensus MOS |
26 |
100 |
16 |
172 |
146 |
18 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
31 |
93 |
17 |
188 |
146 |
19 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
63 |
113 |
25 |
107 |
138 |
12 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
25 |
109 |
25 |
269 |
123 |
26 |
| GFS MOS |
29 |
143 |
21 |
274 |
154 |
25 |
|
