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Davenport, Day 4/3/2/1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Sho Kawazoe -0.63 -0.65 0.00 -0.39 -0.93 0.00 -0.43
Jon Hobbs -0.33 -0.11 0.00 -0.23 -0.53 0.00 -0.20
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
GFS Extended MOS 0.23 0.65 0.00 0.23 -0.40 0.00 0.12
National Weather Service -0.45 0.22 0.00 -0.25 -0.40 2.65 0.29
Consensus MOS 0.35 0.65 0.00 0.87 0.80 0.00 0.44
GFS Ensemble MOS 2.33 2.49 0.00 2.44 1.99 0.00 1.54


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Sho Kawazoe 70 2 0 36 7 0
Jon Hobbs 82 7 0 45 10 0
Average 95 8 0 58 14 0
GFS Extended MOS 104 14 0 71 11 0
National Weather Service 77 10 0 44 11 1
Consensus MOS 109 14 0 107 20 0
GFS Ensemble MOS 188 31 0 195 29 0